Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 29

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Giuseppe Voltini (Crema)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Pergolettese		Triestina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.02	3.05	3.65	Watch
	2.11	2.99	3.9
	2	3.15	3.7	Watch
	2	2.9	3.4
	2.04	2.91	3.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.14)	3 ↓ (3.26)	3.68 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pergolettese
44.8%

Draw
30.4%

Triestina
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

28.2%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

27.3%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Pergolettese - Triestina Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pergolettese will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Triestina will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pergolettese: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cordaro L. (G) 5. Milesi L. 14. Lambrughi A. 26. Bane A. 76. Roversi L. 80. Jaouhari Z. 20. Tremolada M. 4. Arini M. 19. Pala A. 11. Corti N. 9. Petrovic T.	1. Matosevic K. (G) 20. Davis H. 23. Silvestri T. 14. Anzolin M. 16. Vicario J. 13. Jonsson K. 15. Voca I. 26. D'Amore F. 10. D'Urso C. 77. Ascione S. 27. Faggioli A.
Substitutes
27. Aidoo M. 3. Antolini J. 21. Careccia S. 2. Catena E. M. 22. Doldi F. (G) 6. Dore S. 10. Ferrandino D. 12. Finardi E. (G) 23. Meconi E. 70. Orlandi A. 72. Padalino A. 77. Pessolani G. 99. Rossetti M.	8. Attys C. 6. Begheldo G. 22. Borriello F. (G) . Jamaal M. 29. Kljajic N. 61. Korreshi M. 5. Kosijer S. 32. Okolo D. 28. Pedicillo L. 21. Tonetto M. 9. Vertainen E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Anzolin M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Tremolada M. ⚽,
56', Davis H. 🟨,
58', Ascione S. ↓, Okolo D. ↑,
58', Faggioli A. ↓, Vertainen E. ↑,
62', Petrovic T. ↓, Orlandi A. ↑,
71', Pala A. ↓, Meconi E. ↑,
71', Roversi L. ↓, Aidoo M. ↑,
74', D'Amore F. ↓, Jamaal M. ↑,
82', Jaouhari Z. ↓, Dore S. ↑,
82', Corti N. ↓, Rossetti M. ↑,
83', D'Urso C. ↓, Attys C. ↑,
83', Silvestri T. ↓, Kosijer S. ↑,
90+1', Jonsson K. 🟨,
90+4', Voca I. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pergolettese won 2.

Pergolettese has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Triestina's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pergolettese might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pergolettese won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Pergolettese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Pergolettese	9	2	5	2	5:6	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Pergolettese - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.97%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Triestina - the odds 3.19 are the expected chance of winning is 28.83%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
21.02.26	Alcione - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
16.02.26	Pergolettese - Brescia	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Pergolettese	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Pergolettese - Trento	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Inter U23 - Pergolettese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LWWLT
- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
21.02.26	Triestina - Cittadella	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	Triestina - Novara	0:1 ✺
11.02.26	Renate - Triestina	4:0 ✺
08.02.26	Triestina - Inter U23	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Triestina	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
18.10.25	Triestina - Pergolettese	1:1
09.03.25	Triestina - Pergolettese	0:0
26.10.24	Pergolettese - Triestina	1:0
28.01.24	Triestina - Pergolettese	1:1
19.09.23	Pergolettese - Triestina	2:1
22.04.23	Pergolettese - Triestina	1:2
17.12.22	Triestina - Pergolettese	1:0

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