Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 30

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Nereo Rocco (Trieste)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Triestina		Dolomiti Bellunesi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.3	3.4
	2.02	3.25	3.4	Watch
	2.07	3.31	3.96
	2.07	3.24	3.39	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.3
	2.05	3.08	3.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.05)	3.18 ↓ (3.45)	3.49 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Triestina
45.1%

Draw
28.7%

Dolomiti Bellunesi
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

26.7%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

23.6%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Triestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Dolomiti Bellunesi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Triestina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dolomiti Bellunesi than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dolomiti Bellunesi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Triestina - Dolomiti Bellunesi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Triestina (votes: 1 - 50%). Dolomiti Bellunesi (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Dolomiti Bellunesi (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Triestina will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Triestina (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Dolomiti Bellunesi (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Borriello F. (G) 14. Anzolin M. 23. Silvestri T. 20. Davis H. 21. Tonetto M. 17. Jonsson K. 15. Voca I. 26. D'Amore F. 10. D'Urso C. 9. Vertainen E. 27. Faggioli A.	22. Consiglio L. (G) 23. Mondonico D. 24. Gobetti N. 53. Pittino T. 32. Lattanzio A. 37. Agosti L. 87. Burrai S. 19. Mignanelli D. 81. Vacca A. 33. Migliardi F. 29. Toci E.
Substitutes
77. Ascione S. 8. Attys C. 19. Bagnoli E. 6. Begheldo G. 43. Gningue O. 13. Jamaal M. 29. Kljajic N. 61. Korreshi M. 1. Matosevic K. (G) 32. Okolo D. 28. Pedicillo L. 2. Silvestro A. 16. Vicario J.	1. Abati L. (G) 3. Alcides E. 4. Brugnolo R. 49. Casanova K. 7. Cossalter T. 91. Marconi G. 21. Masut N. 11. Petito F. 73. Tavanti M. 5. Trabucchi N. 12. Zecchin A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+4', 0 - 1, Toci E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', Toci E. ↓, Marconi G. ↑,
55', 0 - 2, Marconi G. ⚽,
60', Davis H. ↓, Silvestro A. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Jonsson K. ⚽,
65', D'Amore F. ↓, Vicario J. ↑,
65', Faggioli A. ↓, Ascione S. ↑,
68', Anzolin M. 🟨,
72', Vacca A. ↓, Petito F. ↑,
72', Agosti L. ↓, Cossalter T. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Vertainen E. ⚽,
74', Burrai S. 🟨,
83', 2 - 3, Burrai S. ⚽,
89', D'Urso C. ↓, Okolo D. ↑,
89', Jonsson K. ↓, Begheldo G. ↑,
90+3', Silvestri T. 🟨,
90+4', Mignanelli D. 🟨,
90+4', Vertainen E. 🟨,
90+5', Lattanzio A. ↓, Alcides E. ↑,
90+5', Burrai S. ↓, Brugnolo R. ↑,
90+6', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Triestina is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dolomiti Bellunesi is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Dolomiti Bellunesi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Triestina could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Triestina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Dolomiti Bellunesi	9	2	4	3	7:9	-2	10

Last Results with these Odds

Triestina - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.87%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
27.02.26	Pergolettese - Triestina	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Triestina - Cittadella	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	Triestina - Novara	0:1 ✺
11.02.26	Renate - Triestina	4:0 ✺
08.02.26	Triestina - Inter U23	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLLW
- AC Dolomiti Bellunesi
Italian Serie C Group A
28.02.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Renate	0:3 ✺
22.02.26	Lumezzane - Dolomiti Bellunesi	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Pro Vercelli	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Pergolettese	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Vicenza Virtus - Dolomiti Bellunesi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
27.10.25	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Triestina	1:0

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