Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 21

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Nereo Rocco (Trieste)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 254


	Triestina		Union Clodiense

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.6
	1.69	3.45	5
	1.71	3.39	5.23	Watch
	1.7	3.3	4.8
	1.63	3.5	5.02	Watch
	1.69	3.45	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.13)	3.42 ↑ (3.2)	4.94 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Triestina
54.6%

Draw
26.8%

Union Clodiense
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.6%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

27.6%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Triestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Triestina's performance.

Union Clodiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Union Clodiense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Triestina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Clodiense than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Union Clodiense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Triestina - Union Clodiense Predictions

Users Predictions: Triestina will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roos K. (G) 21. Tonetto M. 44. Bianconi A. 5. Frare D. 11. Attys C. 15. Correia O. 4. Vallocchia A. 17. Jonsson K. 8. El Azrak R. 99. Olivieri M. 9. Vertainen E.	1. Gasparini M. (G) 32. Lattanzio A. 4. Munaretto A. 46. Vukusic R. 13. Sinn L. 8. Serena F. 11. Manfredonia M. 6. Nelli J. 17. Orfei A. 18. Sinani I. 19. Scapin T.
Substitutes
3. Bijleveld T. . Cancellieri D. 22. Diakite M. (G) 30. D'Urso C. 46. Embalo Sambu B. 16. Fiordilino L. 13. Kiyine S. 6. Moretti A. 38. Mutavcic M. 10. Struna Al. . Udoh K. 7. Vicario J. 42. Voca I.	22. Agosti T. (G) 27. Barsi S. 14. Biondi K. 24. Martignago R. 97. Mora C. 80. Niang O. 3. Pozzi A. 9. Verde F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Attys C. ↓, Fiordilino L. ↑,
48', Olivieri M. 🟨,
56', 1 - 0, Olivieri M. ⚽,
65', Nelli J. 🟨,
68', 2 - 0, El Azrak R. ⚽,
69', Nelli J. ↓, Martignago R. ↑,
69', Orfei A. ↓, Mora C. ↑,
78', El Azrak R. ↓, Voca I. ↑,
78', Vertainen E. ↓, Udoh K. ↑,
78', Sinani I. ↓, Verde F. ↑,
90+1', Olivieri M. ↓, Vicario J. ↑,
90+2', Vallocchia A. ↓, Embalo Sambu B. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 0, Udoh K. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Triestina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Clodiense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Triestina is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Triestina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
21.12.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Triestina	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Novara - Triestina	2:3 ✺
08.12.24	Triestina - Vicenza Virtus	2:0 ✺
01.12.24	Padova - Triestina	1:1 ✺
22.11.24	Triestina - Renate	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 LWWTL
- Union Clodiense SSD
Italian Serie C Group A
21.12.24	Union Clodiense - Lecco	1:1 ✺
18.12.24	Union Clodiense - Padova	1:2 ✺
15.12.24	Caldiero Terme - Union Clodiense	2:2 ✺
11.12.24	Atalanta U23 - Union Clodiense	2:1 ✺
22.11.24	Union Clodiense - Vicenza Virtus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
31.08.24	Union Clodiense - Triestina	1:0

Triestina - Union Clodiense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide