Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 38

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Nereo Rocco (Trieste)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Triestina		Vicenza Virtus

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.95	4.05	1.58
	4.9	3.97	1.6
	4.6	4.19	1.58
	4.75	3.6	1.57
	4.94	4.05	1.61	Watch
	4.6	3.5	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↑ (4.6)	3.89 ↑ (3.5)	1.61 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Triestina
19.2%

Draw
23.6%

Vicenza Virtus
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

26.4%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

26%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Vicenza Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Triestina - Vicenza Virtus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matosevic K. (G) 14. Anzolin M. 6. Begheldo G. 20. Davis H. 10. D'Urso C. 27. Faggioli A. 17. Jonsson K. 5. Kosijer S. 23. Silvestri T. (C) 16. Vicario J. 15. Voca I.	12. Massolo S. (G) 10. Capello A. 32. Costa F. 14. Cuomo G. 5. Leverbe M. 9. Morra C. 77. Rada A. 27. Sandon T. 19. Tribuzzi A. 99. Vitale M. 29. Zonta L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
17', 0 - 1, Morra C. ⚽,
28', Silvestri T. 🟥,
32', 0 - 2, Costa F. ⚽,
35', 0 - 3, Morra C. ⚽,
40', Begheldo G. ↓, Silvestro A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Leverbe M. ↓, Benassai F. ↑,
49', 0 - 4, Rada A. ⚽,
52', 0 - 5, Morra C. ⚽,
58', 0 - 6, Rada A. ⚽,
64', Capello A. ↓, Stuckler D. ↑,
65', Sandon T. ↓, Golin M. ↑,
65', Vitale M. ↓, Alessio F. ↑,
70', D'Urso C. ↓, Jamaal M. ↑,
70', Vicario J. ↓, Gningue O. ↑,
73', 1 - 6, Voca I. ⚽,
74', Golin M. ↓, Caferri L. ↑,
80', Silvestri T. 🟨,
87', Izzo M. ↓, Kljajic N. ↑,
87', Jonsson K. ↓, Caccioppoli F. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Triestina is Relegated to

Vicenza Virtus is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Vicenza Virtus is the team to beat.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 0.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Triestina won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
19.04.26	AlbinoLeffe - Triestina	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Triestina - Giana Erminio	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Pro Patria - Triestina	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Triestina - Virtus Verona	5:0 ✺
20.03.26	Trento - Triestina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWTWT
- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie C Group A
19.04.26	Vicenza Virtus - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Vicenza Virtus - Novara	3:1 ✺
03.04.26	Lecco - Vicenza Virtus	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Vicenza Virtus - Brescia	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Renate - Vicenza Virtus	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
21.12.25	Vicenza Virtus - Triestina	1:0
18.04.25	Vicenza Virtus - Triestina	1:0
08.12.24	Triestina - Vicenza Virtus	2:0
25.02.24	Vicenza Virtus - Triestina	2:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.11.23	Vicenza Virtus - Triestina	2:0
Italian Serie C Group A
20.10.23	Triestina - Vicenza Virtus	0:0
19.03.23	Triestina - Vicenza Virtus	1:1

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