Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 17

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Euganeo (Padova)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, RAI 2, RaiPlay, Sky Sport 257
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
World	FIFA+


	Padova		Triestina

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.1	7.25
	1.33	4.5	9.4
	1.37	4.42	9.09
	1.4	4.2	9.02	Watch
	1.3	4.33	9
	1.32	4.4	8.75	Watch
	1.33	4.5	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.38)	4.35 ↑ (4.18)	8.84 ↑ (7.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
68.4%

Draw
21.2%

Triestina
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

21.9%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

20%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Padova - Triestina Predictions

Users Predictions: Padova will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fortin M. (G) 2. Delli Carri F. 4. Belli F. 5. Perrotta M. 26. Kirwan N. (C) 6. Crisetig L. 8. Fusi P. 14. Villa L. 10. Russini S. 21. Liguori M. 20. Bortolussi M.	1. Roos K. (G) 14. Germano U. 10. Struna Al. (C) 5. Frare D. 21. Tonetto M. 11. Attys C. 15. Correia O. 46. Embalo Sambu B. 4. Vallocchia A. 30. D'Urso C. 99. Olivieri M.
Substitutes
99. Beccaro A. 15. Bianchi N. 29. Broh J. 17. Capelli A. 22. Carniello M. (G) 13. Crescenzi L. 11. Cretella C. 72. Faedo C. 30. Favale G. 23. Granata A. 37. Montrone A. 9. Spagnoli A. 73. Targa A. 12. Voltan M. (G)	3. Bijleveld T. 22. Diakite M. (G) 8. El Azrak R. 17. Jonsson K. 13. Kiyine S. 6. Moretti A. 38. Mutavcic M. 9. Vertainen E. 7. Vicario J. 42. Voca I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Correia O. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Bortolussi M. (Pen),
16', Villa L. ↓, Favale G. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', D'Urso C. ↓, El Azrak R. ↑,
61', Kirwan N. ↓, Capelli A. ↑,
61', Russini S. ↓, Cretella C. ↑,
62', 🟨,
66', Vallocchia A. ↓, Voca I. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Embalo Sambu B. ⚽,
79', Fusi P. ↓, Broh J. ↑,
79', Liguori M. ↓, Spagnoli A. ↑,
83', Tonetto M. ↓, Moretti A. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Padova won 4.

Padova is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Triestina has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Triestina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Padova is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Padova to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Padova won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:8 (average 1.5:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Padova won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:4 (average 2.2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Coppa Italia Serie C
27.11.24	Padova - Caldiero Terme	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
23.11.24	Lecco - Padova	0:3 ✺
11.11.24	Padova - Novara	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Pergolettese - Padova	1:2 ✺
30.10.24	Padova - Renate	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWW
- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
22.11.24	Triestina - Renate	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	FeralpiSalò - Triestina	2:0 ✺
08.11.24	Triestina - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Pro Patria - Triestina	0:0 ✺
30.10.24	Triestina - AlbinoLeffe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
28.04.24	Padova - Triestina	3:2
22.12.23	Triestina - Padova	0:1
18.02.23	Padova - Triestina	1:1
19.10.22	Triestina - Padova	0:2
23.01.22	Triestina - Padova	0:2
19.09.21	Padova - Triestina	2:0
Italian Serie C Group B
03.04.21	Triestina - Padova	1:0

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