Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 26

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio 20 de Octubre (Tristan Suarez)


	Tristán Suárez		Aldosivi

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	3.3
	2.1	3.25	3.25
	2.15	3.25	3.35
	2.08	3.43	3.66
	2.15	3	3.3
	2.19	3.15	3.52
	2.04	3.2	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.36)	3.27 ↓ (3.41)	3.43 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristán Suárez
44.2%

Draw
28.6%

Aldosivi
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

26.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

27.3%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristán Suárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tristán Suárez's performance.

Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aldosivi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aldosivi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Tristán Suárez - Aldosivi Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tristán Suárez will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Aldosivi will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mendive J. (G) 4. Alvarez N. 2. Martinez L. 6. Pared G. 3. Iriarte I. 11. Ortega T. 8. Montenegro M. 5. Velez R. 10. Miranda B. 7. Brambillo M. 9. Ayala Rodriguez S. A.	1. Ingolotti L. (G) 4. Lucero R. 2. Iniguez E. 6. Laquidain S. 3. Escobar I. 8. Britez E. 5. Bravo F. 7. Morello M. 10. Olivares J. 9. Cervera T. 11. Curuchet F.
Substitutes
15. Almada A. 19. Bergessio G. 20. Coniglio F. 18. Datolo J. 12. Giovini S. (G) 14. Gorosito I. 17. Messiniti N. 13. Oliva M. 16. Ruiz P.	12. Bruera L. (G) 13. Callegari S. 15. Gonzalez A. 16. Guerra Brian 17. Maciel E. 19. Panaro M. 20. Paredes G. 14. Pereyra F. 18. Torres E.
Coaches
Ruiz C.	Coyette W.

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tristán Suárez won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Tristán Suárez
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.08.23	Chacarita Juniors - Tristán Suárez	1:1 ✺
30.07.23	Tristán Suárez - Mitre	3:0 ✺
23.07.23	Chaco For Ever - Tristán Suárez	1:1 ✺
15.07.23	Tristán Suárez - Independiente Rivadavia	0:3 ✺
09.07.23	Deportivo Maipú - Tristán Suárez	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWTLL
- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.08.23	Aldosivi - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
30.07.23	Chacarita Juniors - Aldosivi	2:0 ✺
24.07.23	Aldosivi - Brown de Adrogué	2:1 ✺
17.07.23	Mitre - Aldosivi	0:2 ✺
09.07.23	Aldosivi - Quilmes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.04.23	Aldosivi - Tristán Suárez	1:1

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