Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 30

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Trival Valderas		Móstoles URJC

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.3	2.78
	2.16	3.45	2.96
	2.5	3.41	2.54	Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.8
	2.19	3.54	3.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.89)	3.36 ↓ (3.5)	2.82 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Trival Valderas
40.5%

Draw
27.2%

Móstoles URJC
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

26.2%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

24.5%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trival Valderas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trival Valderas's performance.

Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Móstoles URJC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trival Valderas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Móstoles URJC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Trival Valderas - Móstoles URJC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trival Valderas won 2.

Trival Valderas is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Móstoles's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Trival Valderas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Trival Valderas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Trival Valderas	5	3	2	0	8:4	4	11
3	CD Mostoles	5	3	2	0	6:2	4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Trival Valderas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
05.04.26	San Sebastian Reyes B - Trival Valderas	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Trival Valderas - Racing Madrid	4:2 ✺
22.03.26	Las Rozas - Trival Valderas	2:3 ✺
15.03.26	Trival Valderas - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Villaverde San Andrés - Trival Valderas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 TWWWW
- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
05.04.26	Móstoles URJC - Torrejón	2:3 ✺
29.03.26	Parla - Móstoles URJC	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Móstoles URJC - Alcorcón B	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	México - Móstoles URJC	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Móstoles URJC - Tres Cantos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
07.12.25	Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas	3:1
28.01.24	Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas	3:1
10.09.23	Trival Valderas - Móstoles URJC	2:1
05.02.23	Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas	1:0
02.10.22	Trival Valderas - Móstoles URJC	3:0
07.02.21	Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas	2:1
23.02.20	Trival Valderas - Móstoles URJC	1:2

Trival Valderas - Móstoles URJC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide