Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 19

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Trival Valderas		Real Madrid C

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.3	1.66
	3.95	3.25	1.7
	5.19	3.51	1.57
	5.26	3.6	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.73 ↓ (5.73)	3.42 ↓ (3.75)	1.63 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trival Valderas
18.9%

Draw
26.2%

Real Madrid C
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

24.2%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

24.2%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trival Valderas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Real Madrid C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Madrid C might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid C than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid C could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Trival Valderas is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Real Madrid C is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real Madrid C could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Madrid C is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Trival Valderas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Trival Valderas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
28.01.24	Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas	3:1 ✺
21.01.24	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Trival Valderas	2:2 ✺
14.01.24	Trival Valderas - Paracuellos Antamira	0:1 ✺
07.01.24	Tres Cantos - Trival Valderas	2:0 ✺
17.12.23	Trival Valderas - Canillas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLW
- Real Madrid C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
27.01.24	Real Madrid C - Las Rozas	6:0 ✺
21.01.24	Real Madrid C - Collado Villalba	2:1 ✺
14.01.24	Galapagar - Real Madrid C	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Real Madrid C - Leganés B	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Parla - Real Madrid C	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
17.09.23	Real Madrid C - Trival Valderas	3:0

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