Match Info

Date: 11 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense (Trofa)

Referee: Macedo C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Trofense		Moreirense

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	1.9
	3.4	3.25	1.93
	3.45	3.4	1.93
	3.5	3.4	1.96
	4.05	3.55	1.98
	3.6	3.2	1.91
	3.54	3.42	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (3.53)	3.39 ↑ (3)	1.94 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trofense
25.6%

Draw
27.1%

Moreirense
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

30.2%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

29.9%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	7.7%	76.9%

Trofense - Moreirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Trofense will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Moreirense will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moreirense: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Trofense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moreirense in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Trofense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Moreirense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Trofense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Trofense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 2
04.09.22	Penafiel - Trofense	3:0 ✺
28.08.22	Oliveirense - Trofense	1:1 ✺
20.08.22	Trofense - Vilafranquense	1:3 ✺
15.08.22	Leixões - Trofense	1:0 ✺
06.08.22	Trofense - BSAD	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLLW
- Moreirense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
03.09.22	Moreirense - Oliveirense	4:1 ✺
27.08.22	BSAD - Moreirense	2:3 ✺
20.08.22	Moreirense - Torreense	3:0 ✺
14.08.22	Académico de Viseu - Moreirense	1:3 ✺
07.08.22	Moreirense - Vilafranquense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese League Cup
29.10.14	Moreirense - Trofense	2:2 penalties
24.09.14	Trofense - Moreirense	1:2
Portuguese Liga 2
16.03.14	Trofense - Moreirense	1:7
02.11.13	Moreirense - Trofense	4:0

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