Match Info

Date: 3 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas (Moreira de Conegos)

Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Moreirense		Oliveirense

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	7
	1.37	4.33	6.75
	1.34	4.5	7.5
	1.39	4.5	7.2
	1.4	4.86	8.61
	1.35	4.2	7.5
	1.36	4.55	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.42)	4.45 ↑ (4)	7.44 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreirense
67%

Draw
20.7%

Oliveirense
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

22.6%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

21.4%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Moreirense - Oliveirense Predictions

Users Predictions: Moreirense will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Moreirense won 2.

Moreirense in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Oliveirense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Moreirense is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Moreirense to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Moreirense won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Moreirense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreirense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
27.08.22	BSAD - Moreirense	2:3 ✺
20.08.22	Moreirense - Torreense	3:0 ✺
14.08.22	Académico de Viseu - Moreirense	1:3 ✺
07.08.22	Moreirense - Vilafranquense	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.22	Moreirense - Paços de Ferreira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWT
- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
28.08.22	Oliveirense - Trofense	1:1 ✺
21.08.22	Porto B - Oliveirense	2:0 ✺
14.08.22	Vilafranquense - Oliveirense	2:1 ✺
06.08.22	Oliveirense - Mafra	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.22	Oliveirense - Benfica B	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.07.19	Oliveirense - Moreirense	0:1
Portuguese League Cup
10.10.17	Oliveirense - Moreirense	0:0
Portuguese Liga 2
22.01.14	Oliveirense - Moreirense	2:2
01.09.13	Moreirense - Oliveirense	0:1
Portuguese League Cup
27.07.13	Moreirense - Oliveirense	4:0

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