Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 14

Date: 30 December 2022, Friday

Location: Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense (Trofa)

Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)


	Trofense		Torreense

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.1
	3.2	3	2.15
	3.15	2.95	2.25
	3.3	3.15	2.18
	3.62	3.15	2.3
	2.6	3.1	2.5
	3.28	3.22	2.12
	3.2	3.1	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.55)	3.11 ↑ (3.03)	2.22 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trofense
28.9%

Draw
29.6%

Torreense
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

29.7%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

29.6%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trofense's form might have worsened.

Torreense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Torreense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trofense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torreense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16%	48%	36%

Trofense - Torreense Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Trofense will win (votes: 4 - 16%). Torreense will win (votes: 9 - 36%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 48%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.4% – 67.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).

Trofense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Torreense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Trofense have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Trofense
Portuguese League Cup
11.12.22	Casa Pia - Trofense	1:0 ✺
03.12.22	Trofense - Paços de Ferreira	1:1 ✺
26.11.22	Braga - Trofense	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
16.11.22	Farense - Trofense	3:1 ✺
13.11.22	Académico de Viseu - Trofense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- SCU Torreense
Portuguese League Cup
06.12.22	Estoril Praia - Torreense	2:2 ✺
02.12.22	Torreense - Famalicão	1:0 ✺
24.11.22	Tondela - Torreense	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	Torreense - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
11.11.22	Torreense - Vilafranquense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TWTTL

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