Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 13

Date: 11 November 2022, Friday

Location: Estádio Manuel Marques (Torres Vedras)

Referee: Brazao M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Torreense		Vilafranquense

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.8	2.6
	2.45	2.8	2.8
	2.45	2.85	2.95
	2.55	2.85	2.85
	2.75	2.84	3.15
	2.55	2.7	2.9
	2.5	2.91	2.91
	2.5	2.85	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.83)	2.83 ↓ (3.07)	2.88 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Torreense
35.9%

Draw
32.3%

Vilafranquense
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

29.5%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

28.7%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torreense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Vilafranquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vilafranquense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilafranquense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	41.2%	29.4%

Torreense - Vilafranquense Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Torreense will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Vilafranquense will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17.8% – 64.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 and 6).

Recent matches Torreense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vilafranquense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Torreense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Torreense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
05.11.22	Leixões - Torreense	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	Torreense - Mafra	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Covilhã - Torreense	0:3 ✺
18.10.22	Torreense - BSAD	0:1 ✺
08.10.22	Torreense - Estrela da Amadora	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWLW
- UD Vilafranquense
Portuguese Liga 2
05.11.22	Vilafranquense - Tondela	1:1 ✺
31.10.22	Estrela da Amadora - Vilafranquense	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Vilafranquense - Académico de Viseu	1:3 ✺
19.10.22	Nacional - Vilafranquense	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
14.10.22	Moreirense - Vilafranquense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.03.18	Vilafranquense - Torreense	3:0
12.11.17	Torreense - Vilafranquense	0:1
13.11.16	Vilafranquense - Torreense	0:1

Upcoming Matches