Match Info

PORTUGAL: LEAGUE CUP - ROUND 3

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Estádio Nacional do Jamor (Lisbon - Oeiras)

Referee: Godinho L. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Casa Pia		Trofense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4.2	6.75
	1.48	4.25	6.2
	1.43	4.1	6.4
	1.44	4.42	7.73
	1.42	3.75	7.5
	1.44	4.3	6.9	Watch
	1.45	4.2	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.55)	4.17 ↑ (3.6)	6.87 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casa Pia
64.2%

Draw
22.2%

Trofense
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

25.1%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

23.8%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casa Pia's performance.

Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Casa Pia - Trofense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estádio Nacional do Jamor.

Recent matches Casa Pia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Trofense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Casa Pia is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Casa Pia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casa Pia
Portuguese League Cup
03.12.22	Casa Pia - Braga	0:1 ✺
20.11.22	Paços de Ferreira - Casa Pia	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
13.11.22	Casa Pia - Chaves	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
09.11.22	Casa Pia - Valadares Gaia	2:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
06.11.22	Braga - Casa Pia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LTLWW
- CD Trofense
Portuguese League Cup
03.12.22	Trofense - Paços de Ferreira	1:1 ✺
26.11.22	Braga - Trofense	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
16.11.22	Farense - Trofense	3:1 ✺
13.11.22	Académico de Viseu - Trofense	3:1 ✺
07.11.22	Trofense - Benfica B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
11.02.22	Casa Pia - Trofense	1:0
12.09.21	Trofense - Casa Pia	0:0

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