Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday


	Tromsø		Mjøndalen

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	6	Watch
	1.53	3.9	6.25
	1.52	4.1	6.5	Watch
	1.48	4.2	6.2
	1.51	4.48	6.78
	1.47	3.9	7
	1.47	4.2	7.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.84)	4.14 ↑ (3.47)	6.62 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tromsø
62.9%

Draw
22.8%

Mjøndalen
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

26.7%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

20.9%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tromsø has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tromsø's performance.

Mjøndalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mjøndalen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Tromsø - Mjøndalen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen).

Tromsø has the most likely position - 13 (26.25%), has project points - 32, has currently - 22, has a small chance of relegated (13%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Mjøndalen has the most likely position - 16 (65.95%), has project points - 22, has currently - 15, has a good chance of relegated (92%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Recent matches Tromsø is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mjøndalen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mjøndalen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tromsø is indisputable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Tromsø won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Tromsø won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tromsø IL
Norwegian Eliteserien
16.10.21	Molde - Tromsø	3:0 ✺
03.10.21	Tromsø - Haugesund	2:0 ✺
25.09.21	Lillestrøm SK - Tromsø	1:2 ✺
19.09.21	Tromsø - Brann	1:1 ✺
12.09.21	Rosenborg - Tromsø	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWTL
- Mjøndalen IF
Norwegian Eliteserien
17.10.21	Haugesund - Mjøndalen	7:0 ✺
03.10.21	Mjøndalen - Brann	1:1 ✺
26.09.21	Rosenborg - Mjøndalen	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.09.21	Start - Mjøndalen	4:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
19.09.21	Mjøndalen - Sandefjord	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
08.08.21	Mjøndalen - Tromsø	2:3
04.08.19	Tromsø - Mjøndalen	2:2
22.04.19	Mjøndalen - Tromsø	1:1
Club Friendly
16.03.19	Mjøndalen - Tromsø	5:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
13.09.15	Tromsø - Mjøndalen	0:0
09.05.15	Mjøndalen - Tromsø	4:3
La Manga Cup
02.03.15	Mjøndalen - Tromsø	1:2

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