Match Info

NORWAY: Eliteserien - Round 20

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Åråsen Stadion (Lillestrøm)

Referee: Amland S. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 8
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Montenegro	Sportklub 8
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 8
Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
World	Onefootball app


	Lillestrøm SK		Tromsø

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.3
	2.2	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.27	3.32	3.44
	2.19	3.36	3.39	Watch
	2	3.5	3.2
	2.09	3.55	3.51	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.96)	3.37 ↓ (3.7)	3.38 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lillestrøm SK
43.8%

Draw
28.1%

Tromsø
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

25.6%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

26%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lillestrøm SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Tromsø has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lillestrøm SK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	23.5%	23.5%

Lillestrøm SK - Tromsø Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Lillestrøm will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Tromsø will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lillestrøm: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hagerup S. (G) 64. Larsson E. 4. Garnas E. B. 28. Gabrielsen R. 30. Foss S. 7. Ibrahimaj Y. 55. Krygard K. 23. Asen G. (C) 17. Kitolano E. 10. Olsen T. 20. Felix Va	1. Haugaard J. (G) 4. Skjaervik V. 21. Guddal T. 5. Jenssen A. 17. Paintsil Y. 8. Antonsen K. 11. Jenssen R. (C) 6. Hjerto-Dahl J. 23. Norheim R. 15. Erlien V. 9. Nordas L.
Substitutes
9. Ali J. 14. Bolly M. 16. Charles U. 6. Hoff V. 18. Karlin A. 21. Karlsbakk M. 38. Rossing-Lelesiit A. 29. Sveinhaug J. (G)	2. Cornic L. 20. Edvardsson D. 18. Johnsgard M. 19. Larsen H. 25. Nilsen L. 28. Psyche C. 10. Romsaas J. 12. Thomas S. (G)
Coaches
Nielsen D.	Vik J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Kitolano E. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Erlien V. ⚽, Norheim R. (A),
31', Paintsil Y. ↓, Cornic L. ↑,
45', Cornic L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Nordas L. 🟨,
60', Foss S. 🟨,
67', Antonsen K. ↓, Romsaas J. ↑,
68', Erlien V. ↓, Edvardsson D. ↑,
68', Krygard K. ↓, Hoff V. ↑,
68', Larsson E. ↓, Charles U. ↑,
72', Kitolano E. ↓, Karlsbakk M. ↑,
84', Hjerto-Dahl J. ↓, Larsen H. ↑,
84', Ibrahimaj Y. ↓, Ali J. ↑,
85', Foss S. ↓, Bolly M. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 13 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lillestrøm won 2.

Lillestrøm has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tromsø is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tromsø could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lillestrøm will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Lillestrøm: Knudtzon E. (Injury) Ranger L. (Injury) Roseth M. (Injury)

There will not play in Tromsø: Koskela M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lillestrøm: Solberg E. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Lillestrøm won 12 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 35-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Lillestrøm won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.08.24	Rosenborg - Lillestrøm SK	4:0 ✺
17.08.24	Strømsgodset - Lillestrøm SK	3:2 ✺
11.08.24	Lillestrøm SK - Molde	1:2 ✺
04.08.24	Kristiansund - Lillestrøm SK	2:1 ✺
28.07.24	Lillestrøm SK - Sarpsborg 08	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- Tromsø IL
Norwegian Eliteserien
18.08.24	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Tromsø	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Tromsø - Kilmarnock	0:1 ✺
08.08.24	Kilmarnock - Tromsø	2:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
04.08.24	Rosenborg - Tromsø	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	Tromsø - KuPS Kuopio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
02.06.24	Tromsø - Lillestrøm SK	1:2
06.08.23	Tromsø - Lillestrøm SK	3:1
02.07.23	Lillestrøm SK - Tromsø	0:1
Norwegian NM Cup
19.03.23	Tromsø - Lillestrøm SK	2:3
Norwegian Eliteserien
07.08.22	Lillestrøm SK - Tromsø	1:1
29.05.22	Tromsø - Lillestrøm SK	2:2
Club Friendly
25.02.22	Lillestrøm SK - Tromsø	1:1

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