Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Romssa Arena (Tromsø)

Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)


	Tromsø		KuPS Kuopio

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	4.2	Watch
	1.68	3.6	4.4
	1.72	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.73	3.7	5
	1.74	3.76	4.47	Watch
	1.72	3.75	4.6	Watch
	1.72	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.58)	3.73 ↓ (3.92)	4.52 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tromsø
54.4%

Draw
25%

KuPS Kuopio
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

23.5%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

23.1%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tromsø has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.2%	21.7%	13%

Tromsø - KuPS Kuopio Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Tromsø will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). KuPS will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tromsø: 45.7% – 84.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Haugaard J. (G) 5. Jenssen A. 21. Guddal T. 4. Skjaervik V. 17. Paintsil Y. 11. Jenssen R. (C) 6. Hjerto-Dahl J. 8. Antonsen K. 23. Norheim R. 10. Romsaas J. 9. Nordas L.	1. Kreidl J. (G) 6. Savolainen S. 15. Cisse I. 16. Miettinen S. 25. Antwi C. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 28. Siltanen M. 8. Pennanen P. (C) 17. Heinonen A. 11. Diawara O. 26. Vidjeskog A.
Substitutes
14. Barry M. T. 15. Erlien V. 33. Jensen H. (G) 18. Johnsgard M. 19. Larsen H. 25. Nilsen L. 27. Psyche C. 3. Robertsen J. 12. Thomas S. (G) 7. Winther F.	4. Da Graca K. 12. Hakala A. (G) 33. Hamalainen T. 9. Muzinga J. 23. Ogunkoya P. 13. Oksanen J. 34. Ruoppi O. 18. Saarinen S. 7. Voutilainen J.
Coaches
Holme G.	Honkavaara J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Nordas L. (Pen),
29', 1 - 0, Hjerto-Dahl J. ⚽, Romsaas J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jenssen R. ↓, Winther F. ↑,
51', Heinonen A. ↓, Ruoppi O. ↑,
68', Diawara O. ↓, Ogunkoya P. ↑,
68', Vidjeskog A. ↓, Voutilainen J. ↑,
69', Miettinen S. 🟨,
73', Norheim R. ↓, Nilsen L. ↑,
73', Nordas L. ↓, Larsen H. ↑,
76', Guddal T. 🟨,
78', Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↓, Muzinga J. ↑,
78', Pennanen P. ↓, Oksanen J. ↑,
81', Romsaas J. ↓, Johnsgard M. ↑,
89', Siltanen M. 🟨,
90', Paintsil Y. ↓, Robertsen J. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.

Recent matches Tromsø is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

KuPS is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

KuPS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tromsø is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tromsø won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tromsø IL
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.07.24	Tromsø - Kristiansund	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	KuPS Kuopio - Tromsø	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.07.24	Strømsgodset - Tromsø	0:1 ✺
13.07.24	Tromsø - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	1:2 ✺
07.07.24	Hamarkameratene - Tromsø	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWWLT
- KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga
28.07.24	Ekenäs - KuPS Kuopio	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	KuPS Kuopio - Tromsø	0:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
21.07.24	KuPS Kuopio - Lahti	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.07.24	KuPS Kuopio - UNA Strassen	5:0 ✺
11.07.24	UNA Strassen - KuPS Kuopio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	KuPS Kuopio - Tromsø	0:1

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