Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 5

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Raatin stadion (Oulu)

Referee: Reitala O. (Fin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	Oulu		KuPS Kuopio

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.35	Watch
	2.95	3.4	2.25
	2.92	3.35	2.32	Watch
	2.97	3.51	2.44
	2.97	3.31	2.42	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.3
	2.89	3.34	2.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (2.93)	3.37 ↑ (3.35)	2.35 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oulu
32.2%

Draw
27.8%

KuPS Kuopio
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

27.6%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

26.4%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oulu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Oulu - KuPS Kuopio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Oulu will win (votes: 1 - 25%). KuPS will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Santos M. (G) 16. Kemppainen O. 5. Pitkanen M. 66. Pirinen J. 22. Kaukua T. 6. Paananen J. 7. Karjalainen R. (C) 21. Mendolin I. 11. Ghezali L. 26. Korkko J. 27. Kallio E.	1. Kreidl J. (G) 6. Savolainen S. 28. Magassa B. 4. Adams K. 25. Antwi C. 10. Gasc V. R. 8. Pennanen P. (C) 11. Moreno Ciorciari J. J. 34. Ruoppi O. 24. Armah B. 9. Engvall G.
Substitutes
18. Cassama A. 20. Jatta K. 14. Jokelainen N. 32. Kone A. 3. Lietsa A. 8. Ojala M. 99. Schulz N. (G) 29. Silander S. 2. Sipola S.	33. Hamalainen T. 17. Heinonen A. 3. Heiskanen S. 13. Kujasalo N. 23. Lotjonen A. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 12. Riihimaki H. (G) 20. Soumahoro S. 2. Ward K.
Coaches
Isokangas M.	Nuutinen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Karjalainen R. ⚽,
20', Pirinen J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Antwi C. 🟨,
57', Engvall G. ↓, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↑,
57', Antwi C. ↓, Heiskanen S. ↑,
61', Armah B. 🟨,
68', Magassa B. 🟨,
71', 2 - 0, Ghezali L. ⚽,
72', Savolainen S. ↓, Hamalainen T. ↑,
72', Gasc V. R. ↓, Heinonen A. ↑,
77', Kallio E. ↓, Ojala M. ↑,
87', Kemppainen O. ↓, Sipola S. ↑,
88', Armah B. 🟥,
90', Ghezali L. ↓, Lietsa A. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 1.

Oulu is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

KuPS is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in KuPS: Kabuye C. (Inactive) Pasanen S. (Injury) Puukko A. (Injury) Voutilainen J. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 17:43. (average 0.9:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Oulu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.3:2.1).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

KuPS: 39.56% AC Oulu: 0.56%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	KuPS	26	13	9	4	41:25	16	48
5	AC Oulu	26	11	4	11	27:29	-2	37

Last Results with these Odds

Oulu - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.53%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Oulu
Finnish Veikkausliiga
25.04.26	Lahti - Oulu	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	KuPS Kuopio - Oulu	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Oulu - VPS Vaasa	1:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
15.04.26	Oulu - FF Jaro	1:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
11.04.26	HJK - Oulu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL
- KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga
26.04.26	KuPS Kuopio - HJK	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	KuPS Kuopio - Oulu	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	FF Jaro - KuPS Kuopio	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Ilves - KuPS Kuopio	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
22.04.26	KuPS Kuopio - Oulu	3:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
28.02.26	Oulu - KuPS Kuopio	5:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
04.07.25	Oulu - KuPS Kuopio	2:2
12.04.25	KuPS Kuopio - Oulu	1:0
Club Friendly
25.03.25	KuPS Kuopio - Oulu	2:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
22.02.25	KuPS Kuopio - Oulu	2:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
28.06.24	Oulu - KuPS Kuopio	1:0

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