Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 31

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday


	Troszyn		Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.05	4.05
	1.6	4.2	4.13
	1.63	4.17	4.21	Watch
	1.62	3.75	4.2
	1.58	4.15	4.4	Watch
	1.98	3.51	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.98)	3.97 ↑ (3.51)	3.99 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troszyn
54.4%

Draw
22.9%

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

25.2%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

25%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troszyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Troszyn's performance.

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troszyn than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Troszyn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Troszyn - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Gebala P. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Klosinski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
66', 2 - 1, Klosinski M. ⚽,
80', 3 - 1, Twarowski M. ⚽,
84', 4 - 1, Brudko F. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 8).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Troszyn will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Troszyn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	T. Mazowiecki	11	4	1	6	21:23	-2	13
17	Troszyn	10	1	4	5	12:24	-12	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS CK Troszyn
Polish Division 3 - Group I
08.05.26	Broń Radom - Troszyn	1:1 ✺
30.04.26	Troszyn - Znicz Biała Piska	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Legia II - Troszyn	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Troszyn - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Warta Sieradz - Troszyn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWLTW
- Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
09.05.26	Wisła Płock II - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki	1:3 ✺
25.04.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Ząbkovia Ząbki	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	ŁKS Łomża - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Widzew Łódź II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
24.10.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Troszyn	1:2

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