Match Info

Date: 5 January 2021, Tuesday


	Troyes		Châteauroux

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	9.5	Watch
	1.33	5	8
	1.31	4.9	9.5	Watch
	1.36	4.4	7.6
	1.36	4.93	9.71
	1.33	4.6	11	Watch
	1.35	4.95	9.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.46)	4.79 ↑ (4.1)	9.23 ↑ (7.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troyes
70.2%

Draw
19.6%

Châteauroux
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

22.8%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76%

19.3%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Troyes's performance.

Châteauroux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Troyes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.3%	7.8%	6.9%

Troyes - Châteauroux Predictions

Users Predictions: Troyes will win (87 of 102 users predict this - 85.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.42% – 92.16%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Ligue 1 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Troyes has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (46%), has a chance of win league (21%).

Châteauroux has a good chance of relegated (59%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Troyes is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Châteauroux has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Troyes is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Troyes won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
22.12.20	Grenoble - Troyes	2:0 ✺
18.12.20	Troyes - Niort	1:0 ✺
15.12.20	Nancy - Troyes	2:3 ✺
12.12.20	Caen - Troyes	0:0 ✺
05.12.20	Troyes - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWTW
- Châteauroux
French Ligue 2
22.12.20	Châteauroux - Clermont	0:1 ✺
18.12.20	Rodez - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
12.12.20	Châteauroux - Toulouse	0:3 ✺
05.12.20	Dunkerque - Châteauroux	2:0 ✺
01.12.20	Châteauroux - Grenoble	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
07.02.20	Troyes - Châteauroux	2:0
30.08.19	Châteauroux - Troyes	0:1
08.03.19	Troyes - Châteauroux	1:0
05.10.18	Châteauroux - Troyes	0:3
22.05.15	Troyes - Châteauroux	4:1
01.08.14	Châteauroux - Troyes	0:1
14.02.14	Châteauroux - Troyes	2:1

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