Match Info

Date: 18 December 2020, Friday


	Troyes		Niort

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.53	3.9	5.75
	1.57	3.8	5.75	Watch
	1.52	4	5.4
	1.61	4.05	5.97
	1.53	3.9	6.5	Watch
	1.57	4.25	5.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.66)	4.01 ↑ (3.68)	5.93 ↑ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troyes
60.6%

Draw
23.5%

Niort
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

25.5%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

20.6%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Troyes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niort than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84%	6%	10%

Troyes - Niort Predictions

Users Predictions: Troyes will win (84 of 100 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.81% – 91.19%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Ligue 1 and 7).

Troyes has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of promoted (59%), has a chance of win league (34%).

Niort has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Troyes in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Niort is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Troyes is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Troyes to win the game is with odds 1.58.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Troyes won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
15.12.20	Nancy - Troyes	2:3 ✺
12.12.20	Caen - Troyes	0:0 ✺
05.12.20	Troyes - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
01.12.20	Guingamp - Troyes	1:2 ✺
28.11.20	Troyes - Amiens	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTWWW
- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 2
15.12.20	Niort - Grenoble	0:0 ✺
12.12.20	Niort - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
05.12.20	Auxerre - Niort	6:0 ✺
01.12.20	Niort - Clermont	1:0 ✺
28.11.20	Toulouse - Niort	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
26.07.19	Niort - Troyes	0:2
15.02.19	Niort - Troyes	1:1
14.09.18	Troyes - Niort	2:0
10.02.17	Niort - Troyes	3:2
16.09.16	Troyes - Niort	1:1
27.02.15	Niort - Troyes	1:0
23.09.14	Troyes - Niort	4:1

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