Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 34

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Jean Bouin (Paris)

Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Variety 4
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN
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Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
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Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, Arena Premium 3
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Mexico	FOX One, FOX Sports, Tubi TV
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Netherlands	Viaplay
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Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Voyo
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Serbia	Arena Premium 2, Arena Premium 3
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Paris FC		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	5.75	5	1.48	Watch
	6.4	4.7	1.47	Watch
	6.03	5.1	1.51
	5.57	4.82	1.55	Watch
	5.5	4.6	1.44
	5.85	5.09	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.85 ↓ (8.06)	4.89 ↑ (4.87)	1.49 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
16.4%

Draw
19.6%

Paris Saint-Germain
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.7%

19.4%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2%

18.6%

71.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paris FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paris Saint-Germain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.5%	18.9%	40.5%

Paris FC - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 15 - 40.5%). PSG will win (votes: 15 - 40.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 18.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 24.7% – 56.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Paris FC (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - PSG (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 1 - 50%). PSG (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Trapp K. (G) 17. Camara A. 31. Chergui S. 42. Coppola D. 6. Otavio 93. Ikone J. 33. Lees-Melou P. (C) 23. Matondo R. 27. Simon M. 18. Munetsi M. 9. Geubbels W.	39. Safonov M. (G) 33. Zaire-Emery W. 6. Zabarnyi I. 5. Marquinhos (C) 54. Lucea D. 17. Vitinha 4. Beraldo L. 8. Ruiz F. 29. Barcola B. 10. Dembele O. 7. Kvaratskhelia K.
Substitutes
13. Cafaro M. 28. De Smet T. 7. Gory A. 10. Kebbal I. 24. Koleosho L. 21. Lopez M. 4. Marchetti V. 16. Nkambadio O. (G) 14. Traore H.	14. Doue D. 27. Fernandez D. 21. Hernandez L. 19. Lee Kang-In 89. Marin R. (G) 24. Mayulu S. 49. Mbaye I. 87. Neves J. 9. Ramos G.
Coaches
Kombouare A.	Luis Enrique

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Dembele O. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Lucea D. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Barcola B. ⚽, Ruiz F. (A),
58', Zaire-Emery W. ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,
58', Barcola B. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
58', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Mayulu S. ↑,
67', Simon M. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
67', Ikone J. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
67', Munetsi M. ↓, Kebbal I. ↑,
68', Geubbels W. ↓, Koleosho L. ↑,
68', Vitinha ↓, Neves J. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Gory A. ⚽, Lees-Melou P. (A),
77', Matondo R. ↓, Marchetti V. ↑,
84', Otavio ↓, Traore H. ↑,
90+1', Lopez M. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Gory A. ⚽, Kebbal I. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

PSG is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )

Recent performances by Paris FC have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

PSG is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Paris FC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, PSG is the team to beat.

There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Hamel P. (Calf Injury) Lopez J. (Back Injury) Mbow M. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in PSG: Chevalier L. (Muscle Injury) Hakimi A. (Thigh Injury) Mendes N. (Thigh Injury) Ndjantou Q. (Muscle Injury) Pacho W. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Paris FC: Geubbels W. (Injury) Sangui N. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

PSG: 70.91% Paris FC: 1.81%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8:3	5	11
6	PSG	5	2	2	1	8:7	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
10.05.26	Rennes - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Paris FC - Brest	4:0 ✺
26.04.26	Paris FC - Lille	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Metz - Paris FC	1:3 ✺
10.04.26	Paris FC - Monaco	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWLWW
- Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1
13.05.26	Lens - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Brest	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.05.26	Bayern Munich - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
02.05.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Lorient	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France
12.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Paris FC	0:1
French Ligue 1
04.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Paris FC	2:1

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