Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 33

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Roazhon Park (Rennes) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	16:00	Caze TV
Chile	15:00	Disney+
China	03:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	21:00	Ligue 1+
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan
Mexico	13:00	FOX One
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Romania	22:00	Voyo
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 4
South Korea	04:00	Coupang Play
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	22:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+
International	19:00	Onefootball


	Rennes		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.75	5	Watch
	1.5	4.75	5.75
	1.52	4.65	5.4	Watch
	1.58	4.94	5.51
	1.58	4.64	4.9	Watch
	1.53	4.4	4.8
	1.59	4.86	5.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.5)	4.71 ↑ (4.51)	5.21 ↓ (5.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rennes
61.5%

Draw
20.2%

Paris FC
18.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.5%

20.8%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

19.9%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	20%	6.7%

Rennes - Paris FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Paris FC will win (votes: 2 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 57.5% – 89.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samba B. (G) 18. Nagida M. 48. Ait Boudlal A. 24. Rouault A. 26. Merlin Q. 45. Camara M. 21. Rongier V. (C) 11. Tamari M. 17. Szymanski S. 10. Blas L. 9. Lepaul E.	35. Trapp K. (G) 14. Traore H. 42. Coppola D. 5. Mbow M. 19. Sangui N. 33. Lees-Melou P. (C) 23. Matondo R. 7. Gory A. 10. Kebbal I. 24. Koleosho L. 9. Geubbels W.
Substitutes
60. Belazzoug K. (G) 3. Brassier L. 6. Cisse D. 7. Embolo B. 4. Kamara G. 65. Mukiele N. 70. Nordin A. 36. Seidu A. 77. Zabiri Y.	17. Camara A. 93. Ikone J. 36. Immobile C. 21. Lopez M. 4. Marchetti V. 18. Munetsi M. 16. Nkambadio O. (G) 6. Otavio 27. Simon M.
Coaches
Haise F.	Kombouare A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Kebbal I. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Geubbels W. ⚽,
66', Blas L. ↓, Embolo B. ↑,
67', Szymanski S. ↓, Nordin A. ↑,
71', Geubbels W. ↓, Immobile C. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Lepaul E. ⚽, Merlin Q. (A),
75', 2 - 1, Embolo B. ⚽, Nordin A. (A),
76', Nagida M. ↓, Seidu A. ↑,
76', Traore H. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
77', Gory A. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
83', Lees-Melou P. ↓, Marchetti V. ↑,
87', Lepaul E. ↓, Cisse D. ↑,
90', Immobile C. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 11).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Rennes is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Rennes: Frankowski P. (Injury) Jacquet J. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Hamel P. (Calf Injury) Lopez J. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Rennes: Nordin A. (Inactive)

We predict that Rennes will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rennes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Rennes	8	5	1	2	18:14	4	16
6	Paris FC	8	4	2	2	13:9	4	14

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Rennes: 2.61% Paris FC: 1.67%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
03.05.26	Lyon - Rennes	4:2 ✺
26.04.26	Rennes - Nantes	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Strasbourg - Rennes	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Rennes - Angers	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Brest - Rennes	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWW
- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
03.05.26	Paris FC - Brest	4:0 ✺
26.04.26	Paris FC - Lille	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Metz - Paris FC	1:3 ✺
10.04.26	Paris FC - Monaco	4:1 ✺
05.04.26	Lorient - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
07.11.25	Paris FC - Rennes	0:1

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