Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 33

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Roazhon Park (Rennes)

Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Caze TV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Rennes		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.75	5	Watch
	1.5	4.75	5.75
	1.52	4.65	5.4	Watch
	1.58	4.94	5.51
	1.58	4.64	4.9	Watch
	1.53	4.4	4.8
	1.59	4.86	5.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.5)	4.71 ↑ (4.51)	5.21 ↓ (5.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rennes
61.5%

Draw
20.2%

Paris FC
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

20.8%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

19.9%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	20%	6.7%

Rennes - Paris FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Paris FC will win (votes: 2 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 57.5% – 89.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samba B. (G) 18. Nagida M. 48. Ait Boudlal A. 24. Rouault A. 26. Merlin Q. 45. Camara M. 21. Rongier V. (C) 11. Tamari M. 17. Szymanski S. 10. Blas L. 9. Lepaul E.	35. Trapp K. (G) 14. Traore H. 42. Coppola D. 5. Mbow M. 19. Sangui N. 33. Lees-Melou P. (C) 23. Matondo R. 7. Gory A. 10. Kebbal I. 24. Koleosho L. 9. Geubbels W.
Substitutes
60. Belazzoug K. (G) 3. Brassier L. 6. Cisse D. 7. Embolo B. 4. Kamara G. 65. Mukiele N. 70. Nordin A. 36. Seidu A. 77. Zabiri Y.	17. Camara A. 93. Ikone J. 36. Immobile C. 21. Lopez M. 4. Marchetti V. 18. Munetsi M. 16. Nkambadio O. (G) 6. Otavio 27. Simon M.
Coaches
Haise F.	Kombouare A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Kebbal I. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Geubbels W. ⚽,
66', Blas L. ↓, Embolo B. ↑,
67', Szymanski S. ↓, Nordin A. ↑,
71', Geubbels W. ↓, Immobile C. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Lepaul E. ⚽, Merlin Q. (A),
75', 2 - 1, Embolo B. ⚽, Nordin A. (A),
76', Nagida M. ↓, Seidu A. ↑,
76', Traore H. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
77', Gory A. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
83', Lees-Melou P. ↓, Marchetti V. ↑,
87', Lepaul E. ↓, Cisse D. ↑,
90', Immobile C. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 11).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Rennes is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Rennes: Frankowski P. (Injury) Jacquet J. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Hamel P. (Calf Injury) Lopez J. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Rennes: Nordin A. (Inactive)

We predict that Rennes will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rennes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Rennes: 3.66% Paris FC: 1.81%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8:3	5	11
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8:9	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
03.05.26	Lyon - Rennes	4:2 ✺
26.04.26	Rennes - Nantes	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Strasbourg - Rennes	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Rennes - Angers	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Brest - Rennes	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWW
- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
03.05.26	Paris FC - Brest	4:0 ✺
26.04.26	Paris FC - Lille	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Metz - Paris FC	1:3 ✺
10.04.26	Paris FC - Monaco	4:1 ✺
05.04.26	Lorient - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
07.11.25	Paris FC - Rennes	0:1

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