Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 19

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade de l'Aube (Troyes)

Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 5
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Troyes		Reims

	1	X	2
	2.38	3	2.75	Watch
	2.4	3.05	2.92	Watch
	2.44	3.17	2.96	Watch
	2.45	2.9	2.9
	2.42	3.18	3.08	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.41)	3.07 ↓ (3.3)	2.92 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troyes
38.1%

Draw
30.2%

Reims
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

28.3%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

27.7%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Reims has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reims than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Troyes - Reims Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Konate H. (G) 44. Titi Y. 23. Gambor H. 6. Monfray A. (C) 14. Boura I. 8. Diop M. 17. Mille A. 10. Ifnaoui M. 5. Adeline M. 11. Detourbet M. 20. Ripart R.	29. Jaouen E. (G) 4. Busi M. 92. Kone A. 5. Pallois N. (C) 18. Akieme S. 86. Zabi 6. Leoni T. 7. Diarra T. 87. Tia A. 17. Nakamura K. 27. Bojang A.
Substitutes
15. Assoumou J. 21. Bentayeb T. 1. Boucher Z. (G) 9. El Idrissy M. 2. Maronnier L. 12. Odede E. 26. Phliponeau A.	90. Benhattab Y. 9. Daramy M. 28. Elie 24. Gbane M. 85. Ibrahim H. 20. Olliero A. (G) 3. Sekine H.
Coaches
Dumont S.	Geraerts K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Detourbet M. ⚽, Adeline M. (A),
14', Jaouen E. 🟨,
22', Busi M. 🟨,
36', Mille A. 🟨,
40', Diarra T. 🟨,
42', Diop M. 🟥,
45+3', 2 - 0, Ifnaoui M. ⚽, Detourbet M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Busi M. ↓, Sekine H. ↑,
46', Diarra T. ↓, Benhattab Y. ↑,
60', Tia A. ↓, Ibrahim H. ↑,
60', Pallois N. ↓, Daramy M. ↑,
71', Boura I. 🟨,
77', Detourbet M. ↓, Assoumou J. ↑,
77', Adeline M. ↓, Phliponeau A. ↑,
88', Zabi ↓, Gbane M. ↑,
90+1', Titi Y. ↓, Maronnier L. ↑,
90+1', Ripart R. ↓, Bentayeb T. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Nakamura K. ⚽, Leoni T. (A),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 2.

In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.

Troyes might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Troyes: Gozzi P. (Broken Leg) Lemaitre N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Reims: Benhattab Y. (Inactive) Fofana Y. (Ankle Injury) Okumu J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Troyes: Ripart R. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Troyes won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Reims: 11.89%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15:9	6	13

Last Results with these Odds

Troyes - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.78%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troyes AC
Coupe De France
10.01.26	Bastia - Troyes	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
03.01.26	Troyes - Red Star	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
20.12.25	Olympique Marcq-en-Baroeul - Troyes	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 2
15.12.25	Boulogne - Troyes	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Troyes - Rodez	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWT
- Stade de Reims
Coupe De France
10.01.26	Le Puy - Reims	0:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
03.01.26	Reims - Annecy	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
19.12.25	IC Croix - Reims	0:4 ✺
French Ligue 2
13.12.25	Red Star - Reims	0:0 ✺
08.12.25	Reims - Laval	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
24.10.25	Reims - Troyes	0:0
French Ligue 1
12.02.23	Reims - Troyes	4:0
02.10.22	Troyes - Reims	2:2
03.04.22	Troyes - Reims	1:0
24.10.21	Reims - Troyes	1:2
Club Friendly
09.07.20	Reims - Troyes	3:1
French Ligue 2
12.05.17	Troyes - Reims	2:0

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