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Troyes vs Rodez Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, December 06, 2025)

Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 16

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade de l'Aube (Troyes)

Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free


	Troyes		Rodez

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.75	4.1	Watch
	1.72	3.7	4.25
	1.8	3.76	4.55
	1.55	4.3	5.4	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4
	1.79	3.74	4.09	Watch
	1.7	3.66	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.47)	3.79 ↓ (3.98)	4.45 ↓ (5.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troyes
54.2%

Draw
24.7%

Rodez
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

22.8%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

22.3%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Troyes's form might have worsened.

Rodez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rodez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Troyes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rodez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	8.3%	16.7%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Rodez will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Konate H. (G) 2. Maronnier L. 6. Monfray A. (C) 23. Gambor H. 14. Boura I. 8. Diop M. 10. Ifnaoui M. 5. Adeline M. 17. Mille A. 11. Detourbet M. 20. Ripart R.	1. Braat Q. (G) 25. Galves N. 5. Jolibois C. 4. Magnin M. 3. Lipinski R. (C) 15. Jean-Lambert E. 8. Younoussa W. 6. Mendes J. 22. Joly O. 11. Arconte T. 18. Balde I.
Substitutes
15. Assoumou J. 21. Bentayeb T. 1. Boucher Z. (G) 38. Diawara S. 33. Donkor N. 3. Ouzenadji A. 26. Phliponeau A.	26. Benchamma S. 12. Corredor M. 13. Issanchou Roubiou C. 16. Margueron L. (G) 9. Nagera K. 20. Ponti R. 28. Saka M.
Coaches
Dumont S.	Santini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Gambor H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Ripart R. ⚽,
62', 1 - 1, Joly O. ⚽, Mendes J. (A),
64', Monfray A. 🟨,
70', Ripart R. ↓, Ouzenadji A. ↑,
70', Detourbet M. ↓, Bentayeb T. ↑,
71', Boura I. ↓, Assoumou J. ↑,
77', Joly O. ↓, Benchamma S. ↑,
77', Balde I. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
84', Jean-Lambert E. ↓, Ponti R. ↑,
84', Galves N. ↓, Issanchou Roubiou C. ↑,
86', Benchamma S. 🟨,
89', Arconte T. ↓, Saka M. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 1.

Troyes is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rodez's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Troyes is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Troyes: Bentayeb T. (Inactive) Gozzi P. (Broken Leg) Lemaitre N. (Knee Injury) Odede E. (Inactive) Titi Y. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Rodez: Achi M. (Inactive) Corredor M. (Inactive) Issanchou Roubiou C. (Inactive) Laurent L. (Inactive) Pelon A. (Inactive) Tebily H. (Leg Injury) Trouillet A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Troyes: Phliponeau A. (Health problems)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Troyes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troyes AC
Coupe De France
30.11.25	Touraine - Troyes	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
21.11.25	Laval - Troyes	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
15.11.25	France dAizenay - Troyes	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 2
08.11.25	Troyes - Saint-Étienne	2:3 ✺
03.11.25	Pau - Troyes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWLT
- Rodez AF
Coupe De France
29.11.25	Canet Roussillon - Rodez	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
21.11.25	Rodez - Dunkerque	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
15.11.25	Lavaur - Rodez	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 2
07.11.25	Grenoble - Rodez	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Montpellier - Rodez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
10.01.25	Rodez - Troyes	2:1
20.09.24	Troyes - Rodez	0:3
30.03.24	Troyes - Rodez	2:3
26.09.23	Rodez - Troyes	2:1
13.02.21	Troyes - Rodez	2:1
17.10.20	Rodez - Troyes	0:1
03.12.19	Troyes - Rodez	1:0

Troyes - Rodez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide