Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 17

Date: 15 December 2025, Monday

Location: Stade de la Libération (Boulogne-sur-Mer)

Referee: Roffet B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free


	Boulogne		Troyes

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.95	Watch
	3.65	3.3	1.98
	3.84	3.51	2.08
	3.72	3.41	1.99	Watch
	3.6	3.2	2
	3.84	3.45	1.93	Watch
	3.6	3.4	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↓ (3.8)	3.38 ↑ (3.21)	1.99 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boulogne
25.3%

Draw
27.7%

Troyes
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

29.1%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

27.7%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	29.2%	54.2%

Boulogne - Troyes Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Boulogne will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Troyes will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Troyes (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Uriev A. (G) 18. Thiam D. 25. Gourville S. 5. Zohore N. (C) 12. Boyer J. 21. Platret A. 14. Bultel J. 19. Binet N. 3. Burlet V. 17. Fatou C. 10. El Farissi A.	40. Konate H. (G) 2. Maronnier L. 6. Monfray A. (C) 23. Gambor H. 22. Hamdi M. 8. Diop M. 17. Mille A. 10. Ifnaoui M. 5. Adeline M. 11. Detourbet M. 21. Bentayeb T.
Substitutes
7. Boiteau L. 22. Duflos S. 11. Keita S. 77. Kouassi E. 1. Lenogue X. (G) 27. Mpembele Boula E. 15. Pinot A.	15. Assoumou J. 1. Boucher Z. (G) 38. Diawara S. 33. Donkor N. 12. Odede E. 26. Phliponeau A. 20. Ripart R.
Coaches
Dagneaux F.	Dumont S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Mille A. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Monfray A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Hamdi M. 🟨,
59', Detourbet M. ↓, Assoumou J. ↑,
63', Maronnier L. 🟨,
65', Burlet V. 🟨,
73', Adeline M. ↓, Ripart R. ↑,
78', Burlet V. ↓, Keita S. ↑,
78', Fatou C. ↓, Mpembele Boula E. ↑,
83', Maronnier L. 🟨,
86', Mpembele Boula E. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Thiam D. ↓, Pinot A. ↑,
89', Bentayeb T. ↓, Donkor N. ↑,
89', Ifnaoui M. ↓, Phliponeau A. ↑,
89', El Farissi A. ↓, Kouassi E. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Ripart R. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Boulogne has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Troyes is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Troyes will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Boulogne: Kitenge C. (Inactive) Martin J. (Leg Injury) Siliadin L. (Injury)

There will not play in Troyes: El Idrissy M. (Inactive) Gozzi P. (Broken Leg) Lemaitre N. (Knee Injury) Odede E. (Inactive) Titi Y. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Boulogne: Capuano G. (Knee Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Boulogne won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Boulogne
French Ligue 2
05.12.25	Clermont - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
21.11.25	Boulogne - Grenoble	3:1 ✺
07.11.25	Dunkerque - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Annecy - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
28.10.25	Boulogne - Reims	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TWTTL
- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
06.12.25	Troyes - Rodez	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
30.11.25	Touraine - Troyes	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
21.11.25	Laval - Troyes	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
15.11.25	France dAizenay - Troyes	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 2
08.11.25	Troyes - Saint-Étienne	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
27.04.12	Troyes - Boulogne	N/A

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