Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 3

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade de l'Aube (Troyes)

Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 2
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Ligue 1+
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Troyes		Strasbourg

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.4	2.4	Watch
	2.80	3.40	2.45
	2.9	3.3	2.42	Watch
	3	3.5	2.51
	2.91	3.46	2.38	Watch
	2.95	3.4	2.45
	3.02	3.5	2.51	Watch
	2.9	3.45	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (3)	3.43 ↑ (3.42)	2.45 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Troyes
32.8%

Draw
28%

Strasbourg
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

27.6%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

27.6%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	26.7%	60%

Troyes - Strasbourg Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Troyes (1.55) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Troyes (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Strasbourg (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Beach P. (G) 2. Maronnier L. 6. Monfray A. (C) 4. Diaz Jr. M. 3. Ouzenadji A. 8. Diop M. 10. Ifnaoui M. 17. Mille A. 29. Karim D. 22. Picard H. 20. Ripart R.	1. Jorgensen F. (G) 16. Antwi G. 4. Mitchell J. 6. Doukoure I. (C) 36. Oso 23. Sousa D. 21. Demba P. 80. Yassine G. 10. Reyna G. 11. Nanasi S. 30. Ortega J.
Substitutes
41. Carneiro E. 7. Diawara K. 31. Donkor N. 11. Gomis I. 40. Konate H. (G) 39. Kone Y. 9. Le Douaron J. 23. Nkada T. 26. Phliponeau A.	7. Amo-Ameyaw S. 45. Brantlind B. 31. Coulibaly K. 14. Essugo D. 40. Harder C. 24. Hogsberg L. 26. Kellyman O. 28. Noubissie T. 12. Piekutowski M. (G)
Coaches
Dumont S.	Oliveira H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Mille A. ⚽, Ouzenadji A. (A),
37', Diaz Jr. M. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Ortega J. ⚽, Yassine G. (A),
42', 1 - 2, Sousa D. ⚽,
45+2', Demba P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
56', Ifnaoui M. ↓, Diawara K. ↑,
56', Picard H. ↓, Le Douaron J. ↑,
57', 1 - 3, Reyna G. ⚽, Ortega J. (A),
62', Nanasi S. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
63', Reyna G. ↓, Essugo D. ↑,
70', Ripart R. ↓, Nkada T. ↑,
70', Doukoure I. ↓, Coulibaly K. ↑,
71', Ortega J. ↓, Harder C. ↑,
79', Yassine G. ↓, Hogsberg L. ↑,
84', Karim D. ↓, Kone Y. ↑,
84', Maronnier L. ↓, Gomis I. ↑,
85', 1 - 4, Amo-Ameyaw S. ⚽, Essugo D. (A),
88', 1 - 5, Amo-Ameyaw S. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 6, Harder C. ⚽, Sousa D. (A),
90+5', 2 - 6, Le Douaron J. ⚽, Diawara K. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 1.

Troyes is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Strasbourg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Troyes: Boura I. (Injury) Gozzi P. (Muscle Injury) Titi Y. (Injury)

There will not play in Strasbourg: El Mourabet S. (Red Card) Godo M. (Muscle Injury) Oyedele M. (Injury) Panichelli J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Strasbourg: Doukoure I. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Troyes won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Strasbourg: 0.64% Troyes: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10:10	0	7
16	Troyes	5	1	1	3	4:11	-7	4

Last Results with these Odds

Troyes - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.49%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troyes AC
French Ligue 1
29.08.26	Lorient - Troyes	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Troyes - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.26	Troyes - Panetolikos	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	Troyes - GOAL FC	5:2 ✺
11.07.26	Nancy - Troyes	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTTWW
- RC Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
29.08.26	Strasbourg - Lens	2:1 ✺
21.08.26	Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Newcastle United - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
04.08.26	Strasbourg - Elversberg	2:5 ✺
01.08.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Strasbourg	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
21.05.23	Troyes - Strasbourg	1:1
02.01.23	Strasbourg - Troyes	2:3
17.04.22	Troyes - Strasbourg	1:1
22.08.21	Strasbourg - Troyes	1:1
11.02.18	Strasbourg - Troyes	2:1
04.11.17	Troyes - Strasbourg	3:0
French Ligue 2
07.02.17	Troyes - Strasbourg	4:0

Upcoming Matches