The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Trujillanos 35.2%
Draw 29.8%
Zamora 35%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.7%
29.6%
38.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.8%
27.9%
41.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trujillanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trujillanos than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trujillanos that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zamora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Trujillanos - Zamora Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Teran L. (G) 17. Polo A. 4. Chaverra F. 5. Maldonado J. 14. Femia N. 36. Carmona J. 10. Abreu E. 23. Fernandez M. 22. Gonzalez K. 6. Trejo N. 9. Bareiro Munoz F. V. (C)
24. Gallo M. (G) 77. Jimenez N. 13. Matos A. 25. Mosquera J. 22. Madera J. 11. Sequera J. 27. Diaz Moreno C. M. 23. Cedeno J. 40. Valladares I. (C) 70. Espinal F. 10. Celis R.
Substitutes
12. Garcia O. (G) 18. Mendez J. 19. Morillo R. 11. Mosquera L. 15. Ortiz J. 25. Pabon Delgao S. J. 20. Paez J. 50. Soler J. 13. Trompetera G. 3. Umbria Valecillos M. A. 40. Vivas J.
17. Acuna R. 9. Alvarez M. 29. Barragan J. 5. Barrios E. 6. Benitez G. 12. Corredor L. (G) 8. Flores A. 7. Gallardo E. 21. Gonzalez J. 20. Guerrero R. 30. Torrealba S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Sequera J. ⚽,
20', Mosquera J. 🟨,
30', Sequera J. ↓, Acuna R. ↑,
31', Espinal F. 🟨,
36', Trejo N. 🟨,
45', Valladares I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', Abreu E. 🟨,
51', Fernandez M. 🟨,
53', Cedeno J. 🟨,
56', Carmona J. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
56', Fernandez M. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
56', Trejo N. ↓, Pabon Delgao S. J. ↑,
60', Celis R. 🟨,
62', 0 - 2, Celis R. ⚽, Espinal F. (A),
68', Femia N. ↓, Morillo R. ↑,
68', Polo A. ↓, Umbria Valecillos M. A. ↑,
70', Celis R. ↓, Barrios E. ↑,
70', Valladares I. ↓, Gallardo E. ↑,
72', 0 - 3, Gallardo E. ⚽, Espinal F. (A),
80', Barrios E. 🟨,
82', Cedeno J. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
82', Espinal F. ↓, Guerrero R. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trujillanos won 0.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Trujillanos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Trujillanos won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 17:48. (average 0.9:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Trujillanos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:18. (average 0.8:2.3).