The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Caracas 59.5%
Draw 25.6%
Trujillanos 14.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.5%
26.8%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.9%
24.3%
25%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caracas's performance.
Trujillanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trujillanos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caracas that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trujillanos than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trujillanos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Caracas - Trujillanos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Benitez F. (G) 30. Herrera A. 19. Mago L. 14. La Mantia F. (C) 13. Yendis J. 15. Larotonda C. 8. Gudino I. 7. Robert Hernandez 22. Figueroa A. 10. Covea M. 9. Fernandez A.
24. Teran L. (G) 6. Trejo N. 25. Pabon Delgao S. J. 4. Chaverra F. 33. Gonzalez M. (C) 10. Abreu E. 22. Gonzalez K. 23. Fernandez M. 15. Ortiz J. 9. Bareiro Munoz F. V. 36. Carmona J.
Substitutes
27. Gonzalez S. 20. Maestre Nino L. A. 11. Marquez M. 34. Martinez Aponte C. A. 3. Pagano L. 4. Quintero J. 17. Reinoso L. 29. Rondon J. 32. Uribe J. 37. Vegas C. 12. Vegas J. (G) 5. Vegas M.
14. Femia N. 12. Garcia O. (G) 5. Maldonado J. 18. Mendez J. 19. Morillo R. 11. Mosquera L. 17. Polo A. 13. Trompetera G. 3. Umbria Valecillos M. A.
Coaches
Aristeguieta F.
Valiente J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Bareiro Munoz F. V. ⚽,
17', Mago L. 🟨,
18', 1 - 1, Yendis J. ⚽, Larotonda C. (A),
20', Covea M. 🟨,
23', Ortiz J. 🟨,
34', Ortiz J. ↓, Polo A. ↑,
35', Abreu E. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
56', Figueroa A. ↓, Uribe J. ↑,
56', Robert Hernandez ↓, Vegas C. ↑,
59', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
60', Carmona J. ↓, Morillo R. ↑,
60', Fernandez M. ↓, Femia N. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Polo A. ⚽, Femia N. (A),
62', Larotonda C. ↓, Martinez Aponte C. A. ↑,
78', Covea M. ↓, Reinoso L. ↑,
78', Herrera A. ↓, Rondon J. ↑,
78', Chaverra F. 🟨,
83', 2 - 2, La Mantia F. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Abreu E. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
87', Gonzalez M. ↓, Trompetera G. ↑,
88', 3 - 2, Reinoso L. ⚽, Uribe J. (A),
90', 4 - 2, Vegas C. ⚽, Reinoso L. (A),
90+2', Fernandez A. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 2.
Caracas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Trujillanos is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Caracas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Caracas is a strong favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 1.5:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Caracas won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:2. (average 2:0.3).
Watch
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Benitez F. (G) 
Gudino I. 
Fernandez A. 
Chaverra F. 
Femia N. 
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