Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 29

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday


	Truro City		Bath City

	1	X	2
	1.78	3	4.33
	1.83	3.1	4.75	Watch
	1.84	3.18	4.82
	1.85	3.16	4.79
	1.8	3.1	4.6
	1.82	3.16	4.63
	1.83	3.1	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.67)	3.11 ↓ (3.58)	4.67 ↓ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
50.6%

Draw
29.6%

Bath City
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

25.8%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

27.1%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Bath City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Truro City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Truro City - Bath City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 19).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Truro won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Truro is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Truro won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:16 (average 1.1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Truro won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English National League South
25.01.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Truro City	3:0 ✺
18.01.25	Truro City - Aveley	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Eastbourne Borough - Truro City	0:0 ✺
04.01.25	Truro City - Hornchurch	2:1 ✺
01.01.25	Torquay United - Truro City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTWL
- Bath City
English National League South
25.01.25	Bath City - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Enfield Town - Bath City	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	Dorking Wanderers - Bath City	1:0 ✺
01.01.25	Bath City - Farnborough	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Chippenham Town - Bath City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
03.09.24	Bath City - Truro City	1:0
20.02.24	Bath City - Truro City	2:1
05.09.23	Truro City - Bath City	1:1
02.03.19	Bath City - Truro City	1:1
30.10.18	Truro City - Bath City	1:1
06.01.18	Bath City - Truro City	0:0
15.08.17	Truro City - Bath City	1:2

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