Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 27

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday


	Truro City		Aveley

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	6
	1.45	4	7
	1.51	3.98	6.66	Watch
	1.5	4	6
	1.48	4	6.36
	1.45	4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.36)	4 (4)	6.5 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
62.7%

Draw
23.1%

Aveley
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

22.5%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

21.8%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Truro City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Truro City - Aveley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, Kabongolo B. ⚽,
63', 1 - 1, Sanders ⚽,
74', 2 - 1, Harrison T. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Truro is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aveley is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Truro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Truro is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Truro won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Truro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English National League South
11.01.25	Eastbourne Borough - Truro City	0:0 ✺
04.01.25	Truro City - Hornchurch	2:1 ✺
01.01.25	Torquay United - Truro City	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Truro City - Weston-super-Mare	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	St Albans City - Truro City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLTW
- Aveley
English National League South
11.01.25	Aveley - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
01.01.25	Chelmsford City - Aveley	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Aveley - Hornchurch	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Bath City - Aveley	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Tonbridge Angels - Aveley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
21.09.24	Aveley - Truro City	1:2
06.04.24	Truro City - Aveley	1:1
21.10.23	Aveley - Truro City	1:1

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