The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Truro City 60.6%
Draw 21%
Birmingham City U21 18.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.8%
21.8%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.7%
20.2%
25.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Truro City's performance.
Birmingham City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Birmingham City U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Truro City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City U21 than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birmingham City U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Truro (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Truro (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lavercombe D. (G) 2. Bell Z. 17. Blake Z. 25. Donnellan S. 7. En-Neyah Y. 21. Greenslade H. 26. Kinsey M. (C) 20. Law R. 19. Nunn J. 23. Starkie B. 37. Tweedy T.
1. O'Sullivan W. (G) 3. Chahal C. 7. Da Silva A. 11. Elmansuri T. 6. Maddox C. 8. Martin-Moore D. 10. Mazwi M. 4. McCourtie L. 5. Quirk J. 9. Reilly C. 2. Thompson-Jones R.
Substitutes
33. Dean T. 4. Dean W. 15. Jephcott L. 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 3. Riley-Lowe C. 24. Stone A. (G)
15. Cook J. 16. Drammeh 14. McGreevy F. 12. Ugorji T. 13. Warmington T. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Tweedy T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Chahal C. 🟨,
58', 2 - 0, Starkie B. ⚽, Tweedy T. (A),
62', Blake Z. ↓, Riley-Lowe C. ↑,
63', Nunn J. ↓, Dean W. ↑,
63', Kinsey M. ↓, Oxlade-Chamberlain C. ↑,
63', Tweedy T. ↓, Jephcott L. ↑,
68', Martin-Moore D. ↓, McGreevy F. ↑,
68', Reilly C. ↓, Ugorji T. ↑,
72', En-Neyah Y. ↓, Dean T. ↑,
77', Chahal C. ↓, Cook J. ↑,
82', Da Silva A. 🟨,
84', 3 - 0, Greenslade H. ⚽, Jephcott L. (A),
90+2', Elmansuri T. ↓, Drammeh ↑,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion - National League Cup Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 2nd in the Promotion - National League Cup Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
Truro is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Birmingham U21 have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Truro may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Truro carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Truro in today's match, at odds of 1.57.
No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.
International
Watch
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Lavercombe D. (G) 
Bell Z. 
Donnellan S. 
Starkie B. 
Mazwi M. 
Drammeh 
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