Match Info

National League South - Round 8

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday


	Farnham Town		Truro City

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.60	1.72
	3.45	3.50	1.85
	3.96	4.20	1.79
	2.93	3.78	2.16	Watch
	3.70	4.15	1.76
	4.06	4.06	1.74
	3.90	3.80	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (2.9)	3.87 ↑ (3.3)	1.82 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farnham Town
25.2%

Draw
23.9%

Truro City
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

27.1%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

26.7%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farnham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Farnham Town's form might have worsened.

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Truro City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farnham Town than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Farnham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Truro City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Farnham Town - Truro City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Harvey T. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Kinsey M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 1 - 2, Bingham R. ⚽,
67', 2 - 2, Cook T. ⚽,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 9th and 6th in the Promotion - National League South Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

Farnham has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Truro shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Truro may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Truro is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Truro: 6.51% Farnham: 5.21%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Truro	10	5	3	2	15:7	8	18
7	Farnham	10	5	2	3	16:14	2	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farnham Town
English National League South
26.09.26	Farnham Town - Weston-super-Mare	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Folkestone Invicta - Farnham Town	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Farnham Town	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Farnham Town - Torquay United	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Horsham - Farnham Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 WWTWW
- Truro City
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Truro City - Cirencester Town	4:0 ✺
English National League South
26.09.26	Maidstone United - Truro City	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
22.09.26	Truro City - Merthyr Town	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Merthyr Town - Truro City	1:1 ✺
English National League South
15.09.26	Truro City - Salisbury	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWTT

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