Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 8

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday


	Truro City		Eastbourne Borough

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.25	3.5
	1.9	3.5	3.75
	1.95	3.44	3.94
	1.92	3.46	3.91
	1.95	3.4	3.4
	1.9	3.59	3.79
	1.9	3.5	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.51)	3.45 (3.45)	3.72 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
48.3%

Draw
26.8%

Eastbourne Borough
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

26.7%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

26.4%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Truro City's performance.

Eastbourne Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eastbourne Borough might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Truro City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eastbourne Borough could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Truro City - Eastbourne Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Pavey A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Truro won 3.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Truro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Truro won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Truro won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English National League South
03.09.24	Bath City - Truro City	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Truro City - Chelmsford City	2:1 ✺
26.08.24	Truro City - Worthing	5:0 ✺
24.08.24	Truro City - Enfield Town	3:1 ✺
20.08.24	Salisbury - Truro City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LWWWT
- Eastbourne Borough
English National League South
03.09.24	Eastbourne Borough - Enfield Town	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Eastbourne Borough - Dorking Wanderers	2:2 ✺
26.08.24	Weymouth - Eastbourne Borough	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Eastbourne Borough - Aveley	2:1 ✺
20.08.24	Farnborough - Eastbourne Borough	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
10.04.24	Truro City - Eastbourne Borough	0:0
26.08.23	Eastbourne Borough - Truro City	0:1
02.02.19	Truro City - Eastbourne Borough	2:0
11.08.18	Eastbourne Borough - Truro City	2:2
24.03.18	Eastbourne Borough - Truro City	1:3
19.08.17	Truro City - Eastbourne Borough	0:1
04.03.17	Eastbourne Borough - Truro City	2:0

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