Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 6

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday


	Truro City		Chelmsford City

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	2.95
	2.05	3.5	3.25
	2.25	3.64	2.74
	2.04	3.64	3.09
	2.17	3.3	3.18
	2.05	3.5	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.34)	3.47 ↑ (3.32)	3.08 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
43.6%

Draw
26.5%

Chelmsford City
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

27.9%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

27.5%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+2%)

Truro City - Chelmsford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Foyo O. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
86', 1 - 1, Harvey T. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 1, Harvey T. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Truro won 3.

Truro is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chelmsford is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Truro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Truro won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Truro won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English National League South
26.08.24	Truro City - Worthing	5:0 ✺
24.08.24	Truro City - Enfield Town	3:1 ✺
20.08.24	Salisbury - Truro City	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Maidstone United - Truro City	1:2 ✺
10.08.24	Truro City - Dorking Wanderers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 WWTWL
- Chelmsford City
English National League South
26.08.24	Chelmsford City - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Weston-super-Mare - Chelmsford City	2:0 ✺
19.08.24	Chelmsford City - Tonbridge Angels	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Chelmsford City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	Slough Town - Chelmsford City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
09.03.24	Truro City - Chelmsford City	1:4
25.11.23	Chelmsford City - Truro City	1:2
23.03.19	Truro City - Chelmsford City	0:3
17.11.18	Chelmsford City - Truro City	0:2
17.03.18	Truro City - Chelmsford City	2:0
26.08.17	Chelmsford City - Truro City	2:0
28.01.17	Chelmsford City - Truro City	2:0

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