Match Info

National League - Round 12

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Grosvenor Vale (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wealdstone		Eastleigh

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.9
	2.25	3.5	2.88
	2.33	3.78	2.82
	2.37	3.31	2.84	Watch
	2.25	3.48	2.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.21)	3.49 ↑ (3.4)	2.88 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wealdstone
40.9%

Draw
26.7%

Eastleigh
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

27%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

25.9%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wealdstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Eastleigh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Wealdstone - Eastleigh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baptiste D. (G) 7. Boldewijn E. (C) 15. Chinedu P. 3. Georgiou A. 17. Hutchinson D. 8. Kadji D. 14. Obiero M. 9. Olomola O. 29. Tiensia J. 20. Tshikuna N. 5. Woodman D.	1. Townsend N. (G) 11. Blair A. 21. Davis S. 6. Eweka T. 27. Harris A. 17. Lundstram J. 9. McCallum P. 16. Pierre A. 15. Saunders H. 8. Taylor J. (C) 18. Waruih A.
Substitutes
27. Adarkwa S. 16. Diarra M. 11. Hassan S. 10. Kretzschmar M. 28. Lucas (G) 24. McAvoy C. 4. Mussa O.	5. Fernandez L. 23. Holzman L. 4. Humphries L. 14. Massiah-Edwards Z. 22. McNamara J. (G) 30. Underhill C. 3. Vokins J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Harris A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Pierre A. 🟥,
55', Lundstram J. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
57', Olomola O. ↓, Kretzschmar M. ↑,
63', Woodman D. 🟨,
65', Georgiou A. 🟨,
68', Kadji D. 🟨,
71', Hutchinson D. ↓, Hassan S. ↑,
71', Kadji D. ↓, Mussa O. ↑,
76', Waruih A. ↓, Humphries L. ↑,
81', Fernandez L. 🟨,
83', Tshikuna N. ↓, Adarkwa S. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wealdstone won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Eastleigh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wealdstone might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Wealdstone won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Wealdstone won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wealdstone
English National League
24.09.25	Tamworth - Wealdstone	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Morecambe - Wealdstone	4:3 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Wealdstone - Leicester City U21	2:1 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Wealdstone - Gateshead	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Scunthorpe United - Wealdstone	Scunthorpe awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLWT?
- Eastleigh FC
English National League
24.09.25	Eastleigh - Southend United	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Eastleigh - Braintree Town	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Halifax Town - Eastleigh	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Tamworth - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Eastleigh - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
15.03.25	Wealdstone - Eastleigh	3:3
23.11.24	Eastleigh - Wealdstone	1:1
16.04.24	Wealdstone - Eastleigh	0:1
12.08.23	Eastleigh - Wealdstone	0:0
07.01.23	Wealdstone - Eastleigh	3:1
13.08.22	Eastleigh - Wealdstone	1:0
05.03.22	Eastleigh - Wealdstone	4:1

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