Match Info

National League - Round 12

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Truro Sports Hub (Truro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Australia	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Colombia	DAZN
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	DAZN
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	DAZN
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN
South-korea	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Ukraine	DAZN
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN
Vietnam	DAZN


	Truro City		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3
	2.15	3.6	2.98
	2.17	3.9	3
	2.20	3.28	3.16	Watch
	2.21	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.6)	3.52 ↑ (3.25)	3.01 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Truro City
42.5%

Draw
26.5%

Morecambe
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

28.2%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

27%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Truro City's performance.

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Morecambe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Truro City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Morecambe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Truro City - Morecambe Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Truro will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Morecambe (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Stone A. (G) 2. Bell Z. 4. Dean W. 25. Donnellan S. 14. Hasani L. 15. Jephcott L. 11. Johnson-Fisher D. 20. Law R. 3. Riley-Lowe C. (C) 8. Rooney D. 6. Sanders S.	1. Mair A. (G) 12. Aarons R. 8. Azeez M. 10. Cain J. 29. Dixon-Bonner E. 5. Kacurri M. 11. Muskwe A. 36. Nolan J. 2. Payne L. 20. Sangare M. 24. Songo'o Y. (C)
Substitutes
7. En-Neyah Y. 21. Kinsey M. 29. Kite H. 1. Lavercombe D. (G) 26. Marsh A. 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 17. Sanogo S.	97. Ascroft B. (G) 9. Panayiotou H. 22. Raikhy A. 14. Sesay A. . Sutton E. . Thomas G. 18. Tollitt B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Riley-Lowe C. ⚽, Dean W. (A),
31', Kacurri M. 🟨,
42', Kacurri M. 🟨,
45+1', Sangare M. ↓, Sesay A. ↑,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Jephcott L. ⚽, Riley-Lowe C. (A),
57', Azeez M. ↓, Thomas G. ↑,
58', Dixon-Bonner E. ↓, Raikhy A. ↑,
58', Nolan J. ↓, Sutton E. ↑,
63', 3 - 0, Johnson-Fisher D. ⚽, Riley-Lowe C. (A),
68', Aarons R. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
74', Payne L. 🟨,
75', 4 - 0, Jephcott L. ⚽, Bell Z. (A),
80', Rooney D. ↓, Kite H. ↑,
80', Johnson-Fisher D. ↓, Marsh A. ↑,
89', Dean W. ↓, Oxlade-Chamberlain C. ↑,
89', Donnellan S. ↓, Sanogo S. ↑,
89', Bell Z. ↓, Kinsey M. ↑,
90+4', Marsh A. 🟨,
90+7', 5 - 0, Marsh A. ⚽, Kinsey M. (A),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Truro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English National League
23.09.25	Brackley Town - Truro City	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Scunthorpe United - Truro City	4:0 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Truro City - Fulham U21	1:0 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Truro City - Rochdale	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Carlisle United - Truro City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLL
- Morecambe
English National League
24.09.25	Morecambe - Halifax Town	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Morecambe - Wealdstone	4:3 ✺
13.09.25	Solihull Moors - Morecambe	4:4 ✺
06.09.25	Boreham Wood - Morecambe	3:0 ✺
02.09.25	Morecambe - Forest Green Rovers	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWTLL

Upcoming Matches