Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 24

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday


	Truro City		Havant & Waterlooville

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	2.85
	2.15	3.6	2.95	Watch
	2.17	3.53	3.1
	2.18	3.53	3.1
	2.05	3.4	3
	2.1	3.56	3.08
	2.16	3.3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.77)	3.46 ↓ (3.68)	3.01 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
43%

Draw
26.5%

Havant & Waterlooville
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

24.7%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

24.5%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Truro City's form might have worsened.

Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Havant & Waterlooville's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Truro City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Havant & Waterlooville, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Truro City - Havant & Waterlooville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Truro won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Havant could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Truro have a series of guest games.

Truro will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Truro won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Truro won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English National League South
16.12.23	Weston-super-Mare - Truro City	2:3 ✺
05.12.23	Maidstone United - Truro City	2:1 ✺
02.12.23	Truro City - St Albans City	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	Chelmsford City - Truro City	1:2 ✺
21.11.23	Weymouth - Truro City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WLWWL
- Havant & Waterlooville
English National League South
16.12.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Taunton Town	3:0 ✺
13.12.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Dover Athletic	4:3 ✺
28.11.23	Maidstone United - Havant & Waterlooville	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	Tonbridge Angels - Havant & Waterlooville	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
09.09.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Truro City	1:3
20.03.18	Truro City - Havant & Waterlooville	1:0
05.09.17	Havant & Waterlooville - Truro City	1:2
28.04.16	Havant & Waterlooville - Truro City	0:0
03.10.15	Truro City - Havant & Waterlooville	3:0
29.03.13	Havant & Waterlooville - Truro City	1:0
07.04.12	Truro City - Havant & Waterlooville	N/A

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