Match Info

National League South - Round 45

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Weston-super-Mare		Truro City

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.2	2.3
	2.5	3.35	2.6
	2.45	3.49	2.7
	2.49	3.43	2.69	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.45
	2.46	3.34	2.61
	2.5	3.35	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.2)	3.34 ↓ (3.38)	2.56 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weston-super-Mare
36.3%

Draw
27.6%

Truro City
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

27.4%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

27.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weston-super-Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Weston-super-Mare's form might have worsened.

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Truro City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Weston-super-Mare, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Truro City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Weston super Mare - Truro City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, Harvey T. ⚽,
90+7', 0 - 2, Harvey T. (Pen),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Weston-super-Mare won 2.

Recent matches Weston-super-Mare is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Truro is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Truro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Weston-super-Mare won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 33:29 (average 1.7:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Weston-super-Mare won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:17 (average 1.6:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Truro City - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 30.63%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
18.04.25	Chippenham Town - Weston-super-Mare	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Weston-super-Mare - Tonbridge Angels	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Weston-super-Mare - Maidstone United	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	Hornchurch - Weston-super-Mare	2:4 ✺
22.03.25	Weston-super-Mare - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWWT
- Truro City
English National League South
18.04.25	Truro City - Torquay United	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Hornchurch - Truro City	1:3 ✺
05.04.25	Worthing - Truro City	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Chelmsford City - Truro City	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Truro City - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
26.12.24	Truro City - Weston-super-Mare	1:1
16.12.23	Weston-super-Mare - Truro City	2:3
23.09.23	Truro City - Weston-super-Mare	0:1
English FA Cup
16.09.23	Weston-super-Mare - Truro City	2:0
English Southern League South Division
28.01.23	Weston-super-Mare - Truro City	0:1
14.09.22	Truro City - Weston-super-Mare	0:0
18.04.22	Truro City - Weston-super-Mare	0:4

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