Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 21

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Truro City		Maidstone United

	1	X	2
	3	2.65	2.4
	3.1	2.8	2.5
	3.27	2.71	2.57
	3.27	2.7	2.57
	3	3	2.4
	3.12	2.85	2.44
	3.1	2.8	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.24)	2.79 ↓ (3.26)	2.48 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
29.6%

Draw
33.2%

Maidstone United
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

28.5%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

29.4%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Truro City's form might have worsened.

Maidstone United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maidstone United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Truro City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maidstone United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Truro City - Maidstone United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Papadopoulos A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 2, Rush M. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Truro won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Truro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Truro have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Truro won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:12 (average 1.1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Truro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English National League South
30.11.24	Dorking Wanderers - Truro City	0:0 ✺
26.11.24	Weymouth - Truro City	1:4 ✺
23.11.24	Truro City - Chesham United	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Torquay United - Truro City	1:0 ✺
English National League South
12.11.24	Boreham Wood - Truro City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWLL
- Maidstone United
English National League South
02.12.24	Aveley - Maidstone United	0:3 ✺
30.11.24	Maidstone United - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
26.11.24	Maidstone United - Eastbourne Borough	3:1 ✺
19.11.24	Bath City - Maidstone United	3:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Horsham - Maidstone United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
17.08.24	Maidstone United - Truro City	1:2
13.04.24	Truro City - Maidstone United	3:1
05.12.23	Maidstone United - Truro City	2:1
08.05.16	Maidstone United - Truro City	1:0
04.05.16	Truro City - Maidstone United	0:2
16.04.16	Truro City - Maidstone United	1:3
05.12.15	Maidstone United - Truro City	2:1

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