Match Info

Date: 21 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Tsarsko Selo Sports Complex (Sofia)

Referee: Zhelezov V. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Tsarsko Selo Sofia		Lokomotiv Sofia

	1	X	2
	1.3	4	11
	1.32	4.6	9.75
	1.31	4.4	10
	1.33	4.61	11.87
	1.32	4.5	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.87)	4.42 ↑ (3.4)	10.48 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tsarsko Selo Sofia
70.3%

Draw
20.9%

Lokomotiv Sofia
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

27.9%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

28.1%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tsarsko Selo Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tsarsko Selo Sofia's performance.

Lokomotiv Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lokomotiv Sofia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tsarsko Selo Sofia than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tsarsko Selo Sofia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiv Sofia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.1%	3.4%	3.4%

Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia Predictions

Users Predictions: Tsarsko Selo Sofia will win (27 of 29 users predict this - 93.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.88% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tsarsko Selo won 3.

Tsarsko Selo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Lokomotiv Sofia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Tsarsko Selo is indisputable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Tsarsko Selo won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Tsarsko Selo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tsarsko Selo Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
16.05.22	Botev Vratsa - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	0:0 ✺
08.05.22	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	3:0 ✺
02.05.22	Lokomotiv Sofia - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	0:0 ✺
25.04.22	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Botev Vratsa	1:1 ✺
18.04.22	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWTTW
- Lokomotiv Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
16.05.22	Lokomotiv Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:0 ✺
08.05.22	Botev Vratsa - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:1 ✺
02.05.22	Lokomotiv Sofia - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	0:0 ✺
25.04.22	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:1 ✺
18.04.22	Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Vratsa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
02.05.22	Lokomotiv Sofia - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	0:0
04.04.22	Lokomotiv Sofia - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	2:1
22.10.21	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:0
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
09.03.19	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:1
27.08.18	Lokomotiv Sofia - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	0:1
07.05.18	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:2
28.10.17	Lokomotiv Sofia - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	0:0

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