Match Info

BULGARIA: Parva liga - Relegation Group - Round 35

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Lokomotiv (Sofia)

Referee: Valkov V. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Lokomotiv Sofia		Pirin Blagoevgrad

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.7	1.9	Watch
	3.9	3.3	1.85
	3.75	3.5	1.9
	4.09	3.61	1.93
	4.1	3.61	1.84
	4.22	3.5	1.85
	3.85	3.65	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↓ (4.65)	3.55 ↑ (3.53)	1.87 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Sofia
23.6%

Draw
26.3%

Pirin Blagoevgrad
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

26.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

24.7%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Pirin Blagoevgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pirin Blagoevgrad than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	16.7%	55.6%

Lokomotiv Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Pirin Blagoevgrad will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pirin Blagoevgrad: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Lyubenov A. (G) 4. Dimov D. 31. Stanoev K. (C) 2. Cardoso G. 12. Bruno Franco 16. Mechev S. 20. Teixeira D. 93. Lambese S. 11. Carlos Franca 9. Krastev K. 7. Mayi K.	76. Kovalov M. (G) 18. Luzayadio A. 77. Diagne M. 5. Bodurov N. 27. Varbanov G. 83. Popadiyn H. 4. Abou A. 7. Donchev A. 73. Benguzov V. (C) 11. Tasev I. 29. Kostov S.
Substitutes
88. Istatkov Z. (G) 21. Ivanov A. 15. Ivanov L. 17. Ivanov T. 5. Kamy D. 26. Miloshev K. 45. Mitkov D. 10. Nikolov V. 44. Orachev M.	38. Dyulgerov A. 20. Esalo B. 16. Georgiev M. 13. Georiev E. 1. Kirev M. (G) 19. Komano H. 14. Polonskyi D. 10. Souda A. 6. Yordanov A.
Coaches
Balakov K.	Babych O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Carlos Franca ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
54', Benguzov V. ↓, Souda A. ↑,
60', Kostov S. ↓, Komano H. ↑,
60', Donchev A. ↓, Polonskyi D. ↑,
73', Krastev K. ↓, Mitkov D. ↑,
77', Popadiyn H. 🟨,
82', 1 - 0, Nikolov V. ⚽, Bruno Franco (A),
87', Mayi K. ↓, Ivanov A. ↑,
89', Polonskyi D. 🟨,
90', Abou A. ↓, Yordanov A. ↑,
90', Varbanov G. ↓, Dyulgerov A. ↑,
90+1', Popadiyn H. 🟨,
90+3', Mechev S. 🟨,
90+4', Mechev S. ↓, Ivanov L. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lokomotiv Sofia won 3.

Recent matches Lokomotiv Sofia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pirin Blagoevgrad is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Pirin Blagoevgrad have a series of home games.

In this match Pirin Blagoevgrad is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Lokomotiv Sofia won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Lokomotiv Sofia won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
21.05.24	Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:3 ✺
17.05.24	Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Vratsa	1:1 ✺
13.05.24	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:2 ✺
21.04.24	Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTTWL
- Pirin Blagoevgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
21.05.24	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Hebar Pazardzhik	0:0 ✺
17.05.24	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2:2 ✺
12.05.24	Beroe Stara Zagora - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:0 ✺
26.04.24	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Botev Vratsa	1:2 ✺
20.04.24	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Cherno More Varna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.02.24	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Lokomotiv Sofia	3:1
Bulgarian Parva Liga
03.12.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:1
05.08.23	Lokomotiv Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:0
14.04.23	Lokomotiv Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:0
17.09.22	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:1
16.05.22	Lokomotiv Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:0
25.04.22	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:1

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