Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: ONEOK Field (Tulsa, OK)

Referee: Johnston K. (Usa)


	Tulsa		Charleston Battery

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3.5	1.95
	3.2	3.75	2
	3.24	3.86	2.02
	3.24	3.86	2.01
	3.19	3.86	2.01	Watch
	3.25	3.6	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.57)	3.74 ↓ (3.85)	1.99 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tulsa
28.8%

Draw
24.7%

Charleston Battery
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

24%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

23.5%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tulsa's form might have worsened.

Charleston Battery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charleston Battery's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tulsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleston Battery than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Charleston Battery, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tulsa - Charleston Battery Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Roggeveen J. (G) 4. Rogers A. 12. Tetteh R. 3. Souahy A. (C) 20. Seagrist P. 43. Portillo J. J. 6. Diallo B. 47. St.Clair H. 21. Dalou A. 8. Ferri B. 19. Stojanovic S.	1. Grinwis A. (G) 2. Segbers M. 5. Archer L. (C) 16. Smith G. 62. Dossantos N. 6. Molloy A. 4. Allan C. 13. Markanich N. 8. Ycaza E. 80. Torres J. 9. Myers M.
Substitutes
22. Bourgeois B. 1. Creek M. (G) 33. Kacinari A. 70. Pacheco D. 5. Ponce C. 66. Sanchez S. 63. Sanchez S. 18. Worth N. 11. Yousef M.	19. Crawford R. 33. Dean M. 3. Drack J. 11. Gutierrez D. 24. Kuzemka D. (G) 7. LaCava J. 23. Palma J.
Coaches
Sanchez M.	Pirmann B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Myers M. ⚽, Markanich N. (A),
14', Tetteh R. 🟨,
31', 0 - 2, Torres J. ⚽, Allan C. (A),
37', 1 - 2, Portillo J. J. (Pen),
41', 1 - 3, Markanich N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Stojanovic S. ↓, Pacheco D. ↑,
57', St.Clair H. ↓, Yousef M. ↑,
58', Rogers A. ↓, Ponce C. ↑,
63', Molloy A. 🟨,
64', Torres J. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
71', Portillo J. J. ↓, Worth N. ↑,
83', Diallo B. 🟨,
85', 1 - 4, Myers M. ⚽, Molloy A. (A),
87', Ferri B. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
89', Ycaza E. ↓, Drack J. ↑,
89', Markanich N. ↓, Palma J. ↑,
90+4', Yousef M. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Tulsa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Charleston Battery is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Charleston Battery could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Charleston Battery will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tulsa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Tulsa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tulsa
US Open Cup
17.04.24	Tulsa - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
13.04.24	Sacramento Republic - Tulsa	1:1 ✺
05.04.24	Tulsa - Phoenix Rising	3:3 ✺
30.03.24	Orange County SC - Tulsa	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Las Vegas Lights - Tulsa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTTLW
- Charleston Battery
USL Championship
13.04.24	Indy Eleven - Charleston Battery	2:4 ✺
09.04.24	Charleston Battery - Louisville City	3:2 ✺
06.04.24	Rhode Island - Charleston Battery	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Miami - Charleston Battery	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Charleston Battery - New Mexico United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
23.09.23	Charleston Battery - Tulsa	2:1
15.04.23	Tulsa - Charleston Battery	1:2
25.06.22	Tulsa - Charleston Battery	2:1
12.03.22	Charleston Battery - Tulsa	1:0

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