Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Turkestan Arena (Turkestan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Qazsport
World	Onefootball


	Turan Turkistan		Astana

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.8	1.49
	5	3.9	1.61
	5.03	3.89	1.58
	5.36	3.9	1.55	Watch
	4.51	4.06	1.66	Watch
	5	3.9	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.07 ↓ (6.79)	3.91 ↓ (4.13)	1.58 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Turan Turkistan
18.2%

Draw
23.6%

Astana
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.7%

22.5%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.2%

21.8%

66%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Turan Turkistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Astana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turan Turkistan than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Astana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Turan Turkistan - Astana Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Turan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Khatkevich E. (G) 2. Abdumazhidov O. 8. Askarov B. 20. Milojko G. 77. Mukhtarov K. 17. Nurymbet A. 71. Sovpel V. 22. Stasevich I. 6. Yudenkov R. 15. Zgurskiy L. 9. Zhumabek A. (C)	74. Seysen M. (G) 45. Amanovic A. 2. Bartolec K. 28. Camara O. 7. Ebong M. 9. Geoffrey C. 77. Gripshi N. 3. Kalaica B. 5. Kazukolovas K. 18. Shomko D. 10. Tomasov M. (C)
Substitutes
18. Asanbek T. 89. Dorofeev K. 24. Duysenbekuly K. 14. Dzhanbaev D. 28. Khadzhiev A. 13. Malikaydar S. 27. Mukhammetzhanuly M. (G) 44. Pajovic J. 19. Sarsenbay E. 5. Satyshev A. 23. Serikuly D. 11. Toybekov E. 78. Zakirov T. (G)	11. Ahanonu N. 21. Astanov E. 72. Basmanov S. 15. Beysebekov A. 4. Bystrov M. 93. Condric J. (G) 81. Karimov R. 99. Karpikov D. (G) 8. Kenesov A. 22. Marochkin A. 6. Vorogovskiy Y. 14. Zhaksylykov N.
Coaches
Zhukovskiy V.	Babayan G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Tomasov M. ⚽, Camara O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Amanovic A. ↓, Beysebekov A. ↑,
67', Zgurskiy L. ↓, Dorofeev K. ↑,
73', Gripshi N. ↓, Kenesov A. ↑,
74', Beysebekov A. 🟨,
84', 1 - 1, Mukhtarov K. ⚽, Sovpel V. (A),
86', Askarov B. ↓, Pajovic J. ↑,
88', Tomasov M. ↓, Zhaksylykov N. ↑,
88', Geoffrey C. ↓, Karimov R. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Turan won 0.

Recent matches Turan is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Astana is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Astana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Astana is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Turan won 0 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:18 (average 1.2:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Turan won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1.2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Turan Turkistan
Kazakh Cup
12.04.25	Turan Turkistan - Atyrau	2:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
05.04.25	Kyzylzhar - Turan Turkistan	2:3 ✺
29.03.25	Turan Turkistan - Kairat	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Aktobe - Turan Turkistan	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Turan Turkistan - Okzhetpes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWLLW
- FC Astana
Kazakh Cup
13.04.25	Okzhetpes - Astana	1:2 penalties ✺
Kazakh Premier League
05.04.25	Astana - Ordabasy	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Astana - Zhetysu	3:0 ✺
09.03.25	Kyzylzhar - Astana	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Astana - Kairat	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
04.08.24	Astana - Turan Turkistan	2:1
27.04.24	Turan Turkistan - Astana	0:2
Kazakh Cup
07.06.23	Turan Turkistan - Astana	1:1
17.05.23	Astana - Turan Turkistan	2:0
Kazakh Premier League
02.10.22	Turan Turkistan - Astana	2:2
Kazakh Cup
31.07.22	Astana - Turan Turkistan	2:1
24.07.22	Turan Turkistan - Astana	1:1

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