Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Turkestan Arena (Turkestan)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Turan Turkistan		Atyrau

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	4.6
	1.68	3.55	4.9
	1.7	3.58	4.93
	1.65	3.62	4.87	Watch
	1.71	3.53	4.93
	1.68	3.55	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.61)	3.56 ↓ (3.69)	4.86 ↓ (5.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Turan Turkistan
55.1%

Draw
25.9%

Atyrau
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

25.3%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

24%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Turan Turkistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Atyrau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turan Turkistan than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Turan Turkistan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Turan Turkistan - Atyrau Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Turan will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Atyrau will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Khatkevich E. (G) 2. Abdumazhidov O. 8. Askarov B. 9. Islamkhan B. (C) 20. Milojko G. 77. Mukhtarov K. 17. Nurymbet A. 44. Pajovic J. 22. Stasevich I. 7. Umarov S. 6. Yudenkov R.	45. Siukaev A. (G) 72. Askarov M. 33. Chunchukov T. 10. Dzhumatov R. (C) 7. Kozlov E. 14. Kybyray Y. 6. Mateus Barbosa 66. Sagnaev S. 13. Sapanov M. 18. Trufanov Y. 8. Tsitskishvili Z.
Substitutes
18. Asanbek T. 89. Dorofeev K. 24. Duysenbekuly K. 28. Khadzhiev A. 13. Malikaydar S. 27. Mukhammetzhanuly M. (G) 19. Sarsenbay E. 5. Satyshev A. 71. Sovpel V. 11. Toybekov E. 78. Zakirov T. (G) 15. Zgurskiy L.	17. Abzalov S. 21. Atykhanov R. 4. Chaduneli G. 20. Kaldybekov E. 23. Nabikhanov A. 11. Oralbay E. 77. Smykov K. 35. Tokhtarov N. (G) 9. Zulfikarov B.
Coaches
Zhukovskiy V.	Gorovenko K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Kozlov E. 🟨,
24', Dzhumatov R. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Zhumabek A. ⚽, Umarov S. (A),
45', Askarov B. 🟨,
45+1', Tsitskishvili Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kozlov E. ↓, Smykov K. ↑,
49', Mateus Barbosa 🟨,
59', Tsitskishvili Z. ↓, Atykhanov R. ↑,
59', Sagnaev S. ↓, Kaldybekov E. ↑,
66', Trufanov Y. ↓, Zulfikarov B. ↑,
69', Zhumabek A. ↓, Dorofeev K. ↑,
69', Umarov S. ↓, Sovpel V. ↑,
71', Pajovic J. 🟨,
73', Askarov M. 🟨,
78', Chunchukov T. ↓, Oralbay E. ↑,
83', Askarov B. ↓, Zgurskiy L. ↑,
88', Oralbay E. 🟨,
90+3', Stasevich I. ↓, Malikaydar S. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Relegation ~ First League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Turan won 3.

Recent performances by Turan have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atyrau is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Atyrau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Turan is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Turan won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Turan won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Turan Turkistan
Kazakh Premier League
03.05.25	Turan Turkistan - Zhetysu	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Ordabasy - Turan Turkistan	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Turan Turkistan - Astana	1:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
12.04.25	Turan Turkistan - Atyrau	2:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
05.04.25	Kyzylzhar - Turan Turkistan	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TLTWW
- FC Atyrau
Kazakh Premier League
03.05.25	Atyrau - Ordabasy	1:2 ✺
30.04.25	Atyrau - Astana	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Astana - Atyrau	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Atyrau - Kyzylzhar	1:2 ✺
16.04.25	Kairat - Atyrau	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Cup
12.04.25	Turan Turkistan - Atyrau	2:0
Kazakh Premier League
04.10.24	Atyrau - Turan Turkistan	3:0
Kazakh League Cup
05.07.24	Turan Turkistan - Atyrau	0:2
Kazakh Premier League
01.07.24	Turan Turkistan - Atyrau	2:1
15.09.22	Atyrau - Turan Turkistan	0:2
27.04.22	Turan Turkistan - Atyrau	0:0
11.09.21	Atyrau - Turan Turkistan	2:2

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