Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Turkestan Arena (Turkestan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Qazsport
World	Onefootball


	Turan Turkistan		Zhetysu

	1	X	2
	1.87	3	3.9
	1.81	3.25	4.5
	1.8	3.4	5
	1.69	3.35	5.03	Watch
	1.75	3.36	5.12	Watch
	1.81	3.25	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.27)	3.27 ↑ (3.09)	4.68 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Turan Turkistan
51.8%

Draw
28.4%

Zhetysu
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

30.1%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

28.9%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Turan Turkistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Turan Turkistan's performance.

Zhetysu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zhetysu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turan Turkistan than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Turan Turkistan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhetysu than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zhetysu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Turan Turkistan - Zhetysu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Turan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Khatkevich E. (G) 2. Abdumazhidov O. 8. Askarov B. 89. Dorofeev K. 20. Milojko G. 77. Mukhtarov K. 17. Nurymbet A. 71. Sovpel V. 22. Stasevich I. 6. Yudenkov R. 9. Zhumabek A. (C)	31. Golubnichiy M. (G) 93. Askarov S. 88. Bolov R. 17. Esimbekov D. 9. Fofanah S. 87. Kairkenov Z. 5. Kovel M. 77. Orynbasar D. 15. Schmidt D. 19. Serikkul R. 23. Shaykhov B. (C)
Substitutes
18. Asanbek T. 24. Duysenbekuly K. 28. Khadzhiev A. 13. Malikaydar S. 27. Mukhammetzhanuly M. (G) 44. Pajovic J. 19. Sarsenbay E. 5. Satyshev A. 11. Toybekov E. 7. Umarov S. 78. Zakirov T. (G) 15. Zgurskiy L.	6. Akhmedov A. 8. Aymanov A. 1. Egorov A. (G) 22. Karimov R. 73. Kurmanakhan Y. 14. Mukhametkhanov Z. 7. Nurbol N. 27. Omatay M. 25. Rudoselskiy T. 12. Taykenov M. 99. Zhitnev M.
Coaches
Zhukovskiy V.	Smakov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Esimbekov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Serikkul R. ↓, Omatay M. ↑,
46', Zhumabek A. ↓, Umarov S. ↑,
59', Orynbasar D. 🟥,
63', Kairkenov Z. ↓, Aymanov A. ↑,
66', Bolov R. 🟨,
69', Mukhtarov K. ↓, Malikaydar S. ↑,
69', Nurymbet A. ↓, Zgurskiy L. ↑,
72', Esimbekov D. ↓, Akhmedov A. ↑,
72', Bolov R. ↓, Karimov R. ↑,
82', Aymanov A. ↓, Zhitnev M. ↑,
86', Dorofeev K. ↓, Satyshev A. ↑,
86', Askarov B. ↓, Pajovic J. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', Zhitnev M. 🟨,
90+6', Milojko G. 🟨,
90+7', Karimov R. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ First League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Turan won 1.

Recent performances by Turan have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zhetysu is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Turan is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Turan won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Turan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Turan Turkistan
Kazakh Premier League
27.04.25	Ordabasy - Turan Turkistan	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Turan Turkistan - Astana	1:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
12.04.25	Turan Turkistan - Atyrau	2:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
05.04.25	Kyzylzhar - Turan Turkistan	2:3 ✺
29.03.25	Turan Turkistan - Kairat	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LTWWL
- FC Zhetysu
Kazakh Premier League
26.04.25	Zhetysu - Yelimay Semey	0:3 ✺
19.04.25	Ordabasy - Zhetysu	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
13.04.25	Tobol Kostanay - Zhetysu	1:0 ET ✺
Kazakh Premier League
05.04.25	Zhetysu - Zhenis	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Astana - Zhetysu	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
01.09.24	Zhetysu - Turan Turkistan	0:0
11.05.24	Turan Turkistan - Zhetysu	2:3
Kazakh Cup
14.08.22	Zhetysu - Turan Turkistan	0:0
17.07.22	Turan Turkistan - Zhetysu	3:0
14.08.21	Zhetysu - Turan Turkistan	1:0
18.07.21	Turan Turkistan - Zhetysu	0:2
Kazakh Premier League
28.05.21	Turan Turkistan - Zhetysu	0:2

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