Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Žetisu Stadion (Taldykorgan)

Referee: Tevyashov D. (Kaz)


	Zhetysu		Zhenis

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.98	2.72	Watch
	2.57	3.05	2.82
	2.58	2.98	2.75	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.7
	2.58	3.04	2.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (3.02)	2.97 ↓ (3.12)	2.77 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhetysu
35.9%

Draw
31%

Zhenis
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

29.5%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

28.9%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhetysu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zhetysu's performance.

Zhenis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zhenis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhetysu than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zhetysu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhenis than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zhenis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zhetysu - Zhenis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Podymskiy D. (G) 4. Kashken D. 3. Luna D. 5. Orynbassar R. 11. Dobay A. 10. Mosiashvili T. 7. Muzhikov S. (C) 23. Baltabekov A. 9. Abzalov S. 77. Anuarbekov N. 90. Jovanovic S.	41. Plotnikov M. (G) 8. Khaseyn M. 63. Saravanja I. 13. Tursynbay S. 72. Askarov M. 7. Kuat I. (C) 88. Martins G. 14. Saulet A. 19. Adilio 9. Lobjanidze E. 10. Imnadze L.
Substitutes
8. Adakhadziev A. 20. Anuarbek S. 2. Aslan R. 14. Birkurmanov M. 1. Egorov A. (G) 30. Ertis S. 19. Kovacevic M. 17. Nurbol N. 15. Pajovic J. 57. Umaniyazov M. 21. Zhakipbayev M. 27. Zivanovic M.	17. Adilov A. 93. Elder Santana 30. Gorobchenko N. 45. Iyede S. 21. Kamaradinov B. 18. Madelkhan B. 52. Merkel A. 77. Shanshar N. (G) 1. Sotnik I. (G) 23. Ulshin A.
Coaches
Nurdauletov K.	Aliyev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Adilio ⚽, Askarov M. (A),
14', 0 - 2, Imnadze L. ⚽, Adilio (A),
16', 1 - 2, Anuarbekov N. ⚽,
18', Orynbassar R. ↓, Pajovic J. ↑,
27', Mosiashvili T. 🟨,
28', 2 - 2, Muzhikov S. ⚽,
41', Imnadze L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Martins G. ↓, Merkel A. ↑,
46', Lobjanidze E. ↓, Elder Santana ↑,
51', Kuat I. 🟨,
60', Abzalov S. ↓, Zhakipbayev M. ↑,
65', Askarov M. ↓, Adilov A. ↑,
68', Anuarbekov N. ↓, Zivanovic M. ↑,
74', 2 - 3, Kuat I. ⚽,
89', Imnadze L. ↓, Iyede S. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zhetysu won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Zhetysu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Zhetysu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Zhenis	26	8	8	10	26:32	-6	32
16	Zhetysu Taldykorgan	26	5	7	14	26:44	-18	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zhetysu
Kazakh Premier League
02.05.26	Kaisar - Zhetysu	1:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
29.04.26	Atyrau - Zhetysu	0:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.04.26	Zhetysu - Ulytau	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Zhetysu	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Zhetysu - Yelimay Semey	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 TWWWL
- FC Zhenis
Kazakh Premier League
03.05.26	Zhenis - Tobol Kostanay	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
29.04.26	Okzhetpes - Zhenis	2:3 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
25.04.26	Altai Semey - Zhenis	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Zhenis - Aktobe	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Kyzylzhar - Zhenis	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
13.07.25	Zhenis - Zhetysu	3:1
05.04.25	Zhetysu - Zhenis	0:0
19.10.24	Zhenis - Zhetysu	1:0
16.06.24	Zhetysu - Zhenis	2:2
Kazakh First League
30.09.22	Zhetysu - Zhenis	3:1
24.06.22	Zhenis - Zhetysu	3:1

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