Match Info

UZBEKISTAN: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 19

Date: 9 November 2023, Thursday

Location: O'zbekiston Stadioni (Yaypan)

Referee: Tukhtasinov T. (Uzb)


	Turon		Neftchi Fargona

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.62
	5.44	3.5	1.77
	5.44	3.45	1.69
	4.75	3.38	1.68
	4.8	3.5	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.04 ↑ (4.02)	3.45 ↑ (3.01)	1.69 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Turon
18.4%

Draw
26.8%

Neftchi Fargona
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

30.7%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

29.8%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Turon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neftchi Fargona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turon than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftchi Fargona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Turon - Neftchi Fargona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Davronov R. (G) 2. Abdurashidov A. 21. Aliev A. 44. Ashurov A. 9. Azimov R. 18. Kamolov A. 15. Kholmurodov A. 14. Mukhtarov K. 10. Murtazaev K. 45. Saidkhonov A. 4. Toshtemirov A.	12. Nazarov V. (G) 7. Adkhamzoda U. 40. Arabuli B. 20. Gofurov A. 19. Gofurov M. 70. Gulomov A. 24. Gulyamov G. 9. Khoshimov U. 26. Larin O. 8. Mukhiddinov S. 21. Ubaydullaev M.
Substitutes
36. Abdurazzakov N. 55. Aisarov A. 5. Chobanov M. 40. Enyang N. 77. Jumankuziev F. 23. Khursandov S. 17. Mukarov N. 88. Sadulloev S. 99. Sayyotov K. (G)	11. Abdullaev I. 10. Abdullazhonov S. 2. Dzhuraboyev Z. 5. Mrcela T. 28. Musaev F. 17. Olimov A. 77. Toshmirzaev B. 45. Turaev A. (G) 66. Valiev D.
Coaches
Nazarov Y.	Levchenko V.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).

Recent matches Turon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Neftchi Fargona is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Neftchi Fargona is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Turon won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Turon
Uzbek League
01.11.23	AGMK - Turon	2:1 ✺
26.10.23	Turon - Sogdiana Jizzakh	1:0 ✺
20.10.23	Pakhtakor - Turon	3:0 ✺
05.10.23	Turon - Metallurg Bekabad	1:1 ✺
28.09.23	Navbahor Namangan - Turon	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLTL
- Neftchi Fargona
Uzbek League
03.11.23	Neftchi Fargona - Olympic Tashkent	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Bunyodkor - Neftchi Fargona	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Neftchi Fargona - Surkhon Termez	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Nasaf Qarshi - Neftchi Fargona	2:0 ✺
27.09.23	Neftchi Fargona - Buxoro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
17.04.23	Neftchi Fargona - Turon	1:1

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