Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 20

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Pino Zaccheria (Foggia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport Calcio
World	Onefootball


	Foggia		Catania

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.9	3.6	1.55
	5.85	3.48	1.59	Watch
	5.5	3.3	1.57
	6.03	3.46	1.63	Watch
	6.33	3.66	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.92 ↓ (8.19)	3.5 ↓ (4.3)	1.57 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Foggia
15.5%

Draw
26.2%

Catania
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.3%

21.4%

67.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.9%

20.6%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Foggia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Catania might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Catania could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Foggia - Catania Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Foggia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Catania will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Catania (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perucchini F. (G) 20. Buttaro A. 6. Minelli A. 98. Rizzo F. 23. Morelli G. 8. Garofalo V. 5. Castorri G. 18. Oliva M. 99. D'Amico F. 92. Winkelmann T. 9. Bevilacqua M.	57. Dini A. (G) 73. Pieraccini S. 15. Di Gennaro M. 3. Celli A. 24. Casasola T. 16. Quaini A. 14. Di Tacchio F. (C) 20. Donnarumma D. 99. D'Ausilio M. 7. Jimenez K. 32. Forte F.
Substitutes
26. Agnelli G. 27. Borbei A. (G) 40. Castaldi G. 11. Fossati D. 10. Ilicic M. 22. Magro F. (G) 54. Pellegrino G. 16. Petermann D. 25. Staver C. 17. Sylla Y.	1. Bethers K. (G) 12. Coco L. (G) 30. Corbari A. 28. Doni S. 77. Martic M. 19. Raimo A. 9. Rolfini A. 11. Stoppa M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Quaini A. 🟨,
37', Di Tacchio F. 🟨,
44', Celli A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Quaini A. ↓, Corbari A. ↑,
57', 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Bevilacqua M. ⚽,
63', D'Ausilio M. ↓, Rolfini A. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Buttaro A. (Own goal),
70', Pieraccini S. 🟨,
75', Morelli G. ↓, Castaldi G. ↑,
75', Castorri G. ↓, Nocerino L. ↑,
84', Winkelmann T. ↓, Petermann D. ↑,
86', Bevilacqua M. ↓, Fossati D. ↑,
89', Di Tacchio F. ↓, Stoppa M. ↑,
90+7', D'Amico F. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 1.

Recent performances by Foggia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Catania is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Catania may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Catania is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Foggia won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Catania	8	4	1	3	14:10	4	13
10	Foggia	8	3	2	3	8:7	1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
20.12.25	Salernitana - Foggia	2:1 ✺
15.12.25	Foggia - Monopoli	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Siracusa - Foggia	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Foggia - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Trapani - Foggia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 LWTWL
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
21.12.25	Catania - Atalanta U23	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Potenza - Catania	1:1 ✺
05.12.25	Catania - Crotone	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Picerno - Catania	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Catania - Latina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
24.08.25	Catania - Foggia	6:0
02.03.25	Catania - Foggia	1:1
20.10.24	Foggia - Catania	2:2
02.02.24	Foggia - Catania	1:1
25.09.23	Catania - Foggia	0:2
20.03.22	Foggia - Catania	5:1
14.11.21	Catania - Foggia	1:2

Upcoming Matches