Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday


	Tusker		Kakamega Homeboyz

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.72	2.52
	2.89	2.61	2.53
	2.95	2.7	2.61	Watch
	2.79	2.77	2.54
	2.8	2.75	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 (2.85)	2.71 ↓ (2.86)	2.54 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tusker
31.5%

Draw
33.1%

Kakamega Homeboyz
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

32%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tusker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Kakamega Homeboyz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Tusker - Kakamega Homeboyz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 1.

Tusker may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:15. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tusker won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Tusker	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Kakamega Homeboyz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Kakamega Homeboyz - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.8%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tusker
CAF Confederation Cup
06.09.26	Al-Ahli Wad Madani - Tusker	2:2 ✺
CECAFA Clubs Cup
29.07.26	Tusker - Rayon Sports	0:1 ✺
26.07.26	Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman - Tusker	2:0 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
14.06.26	Tusker - Police FC	2:1 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
31.05.26	Tusker - APS Bomet	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLLWT
- Kakamega Homeboyz
Kenyan Premier League
31.05.26	Police FC - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Kenya CB - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Shabana - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:0 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
12.04.26	Kakamega Homeboyz - Ulinzi Stars	0:1 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
08.04.26	Nairobi United - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
15.03.26	Tusker - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:0
02.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Tusker	1:1
22.09.24	Tusker - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:2
Kenyan FKF Cup
30.03.24	Kakamega Homeboyz - Tusker	1:0
Kenyan Premier League
16.09.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - Tusker	2:1
Kenyan FKF Cup
01.07.23	Tusker - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:1
Kenyan Premier League
07.05.23	Tusker - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:0

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