Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2


	Kenya CB		Shabana

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.68	3.05
	2.46	2.54	3.14
	2.5	2.64	3.17	Watch
	2.45	2.5	3.1
	2.45	2.7	3.1
	2.5	2.54	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.4)	2.6 ↓ (2.9)	3.12 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kenya CB
36.5%

Draw
34.6%

Shabana
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

31.6%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

30.9%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kenya CB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Shabana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kenya CB than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabana than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Kenya CB - Shabana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 2, ⚽,
62', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 8).

KCB is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Shabana is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

KCB may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, KCB won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, KCB won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenya Commercial Bank SC
Kenyan Premier League
16.12.25	Kenya CB - APS Bomet	4:2 ✺
11.12.25	Ulinzi Stars - Kenya CB	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Kenya CB - Sofapaka	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Kenya CB	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Mara Sugar - Kenya CB	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWWTW
- Shabana FC
Kenyan Premier League
17.12.25	Shabana - Mara Sugar	0:0 ✺
12.12.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Shabana	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Shabana - Bidco United	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Police FC - Shabana	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Muranga Seal - Shabana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
09.05.25	Kenya CB - Shabana	0:1
15.12.24	Shabana - Kenya CB	2:0
08.03.24	Kenya CB - Shabana	3:2
02.12.23	Shabana - Kenya CB	1:1

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